collected snippets of immediate importance...


Showing posts with label india. Show all posts
Showing posts with label india. Show all posts

Friday, March 25, 2011

vivek chibber, locked in place (2003) chapter 1: introduction

(4): india's failure as a relative failure

(6-7): e. asian example teaches us that this is not so much about state intervention, but about the quality of state intervention. specifically, in two dimensions:
  1. state's cohesiveness as a strategic actor
  2. state's ability to extract performance from private firms
(9): critical--the question of the installation of this apparatus has been answered by referencing goings-on within the state. in contrast, bringing attentiont to the conflicts between the state and societal actors. two nested claims, here:
  1. divergence in outcomes depended on the orientation of the business class -- state managers' agenda was frustrated by a well-organized offensive launched by domestic capitalists
  2. the mechanism that caused a different reaction in India and Korea was the former's adoption of ISI, and the latter's adoption of ELI. they generated different political incentive structures.
chapter 2

(13) state intervention in the latter half of the twentieth century has been more extensive and invasive than earlier 'late development.' the hallmark is the appearance of 'development planning'.

(16-17): these demands on the state (state capacity) require institutional structures that can do two things:
  1. coordinate amongst firms--guarantee inputs and coordinated investment projects
  2. compel/discipline capital
(19-23): this, in turn, requires three things
  1. rational bureaucracy
  2. nodal agencies
  3. embededness
(29-44): four theses
  1. state building in India imperiled by capitalist offensive; not the case in Korea
  2. ISI vs. ELI
  3. Korea was able to switch to ELI because of unique historical conditions; this was not possible in India, ELI would not have helped appease capitalists
  4. full explanation for failure in India would have to incorporate INC demobilization of the labour, which reduced State's autonomy from Capital
(52): coup of 1961, SK -- crucial

(53): not b/c of State power, but b/c of capitalist enthusiasm [this is why point about authoritarianism is misplaced]

(56): Rhee (1948-1961), pursued 'bad' ISI in 50s

(58): crux--critical factor allowing for policy change in SK was emerging alliance between K. and J. capital

(60): EPB as 'nodal agency'

(61): 1964-1965 -- the 'pact' around the export-led strategy

(62-65): control over finance/credit --> State autonomy? [no, Vivek is saying-- this doesn't render state managers indifferent to capitalists' reaction to their policies]

(66): summary page--development of dev. State in SK

(68): b. confidence went down with the coup

(69): 1961-1963 failure in SK

(71): difference between export-led and export-promotion (most countries did latter; SK was unique in pursuing former)

(72): in early 60s, Korean firms not so hot

(72): but firms will still be amenable, where a reasonable chance of success in markets, exists

(73-74): Japanese help was crucial, in SK--and it began before '64-'65

(77): FDI important or not? not a lot of the investment, but central to success in key sectors

(78): in short--the Japanese relationship [seems to suggest that Japanese supplied the credit; what does this mean in terms of importance of State monopoly of credit?]

(79-80): wrt Japanese capital, state support was critical (1) ensuring partnerships; (2) guaranteeing credit, etc. [but why not just allow State control over Japanese? why allow State control over themselves? isn't there a prisoner's dilemma, here? you might even want State to control others, but why your own firm? but maybe 'chaebols' obviate this]

(82): key--ELI causally prior to dev. state

(83): w/o this ELI analysis, you have a 'bootstraps' model

(86): three theses, re: India
  1. release of Bombay Plan not motivated by desire to launch developmental State. instead, response to Quit India agitation of '42-'43, which industrialists perceived as threat. trying to preempt socialist planning, calling for capitalist planning
  2. capitalists were quite opposed to idea of giving State any measure of power to control investment ('39 coordination fell apart', reception of BPlan, etc.). after 1945 very clear.
  3. opposition to State power over private capital was generated by structural factors--partly due to flight of British capital, but mainly result of State ISI strategy
(92): Q. India went out of INC's hands

(110): by demobilizing labour, Congress was eroding its capacity to impose discipline

(113): Gandhi--singular capacity to mobilize the masses (especially rural) earned the respect of the Left; staunch defense of property earned the trust of the Right

(125): imp--question, here, of what allowed them to split the labour movement so easily. is it as simple as saying that they had political hegemony?

(128): argument re: business offensive in India
  1. state managers needed to both (a) win support of capitalists; (b) impose discipline on capitalists.
  2. but (b) was not tolerable to capitalists, and (a) made it very rational for them to resist (b) (they liked ISI largesse, which made it easy for them to make profits without ramping up productivity)
  3. capitalist class was handicapped because self-regulation was discredited; and also 'planning' of the largesse kind was favored
  4. as a result, industrial planning policy was passed--but severely compromised by State's concern to appease capitalists. PC basically became an advisory body
(142): political lobbying and investment strike, when things didn't seem to be going their way

(144): Nehru was concerned, but couldn't do anything: (1) departure of Left and (2) ascension of V.B. Patel left him powerless

(146): PC was neutered, as a result

(148): the State as 'doting nanny'

(163): importance of 'the nodal agency' -- need to discipline political elites, as well

(169, 172): structure of Korean business important in facilitating corporatist arrangements? made embeddedness/discipline easier? but then should have been easier in India, Vivek notes

(175): regulation in Korea vs. self-regulation in India

(182): in sum, planners weren't given institutional power

(195): why didn't reform occur?
  1. not because of ideological biases--ideological argument can't explain why planners didn't pursue 'better' State intervention.
  2. not because they were corrupt--in Japan and SK, corruption was compatible with effective State intervention
(196): Crisis of 1957 triggered re-think--onset of foreign-exchange crisis, exports would have to be increased.

(200-206): but trying to turn firms towards export markets, following Korea's example, in 1958-1959--floundered for three basic reasons.
  1. preference for the domestic market--firms are comfortable making easy profits insulated from competition. why change? [so why change in SK, after 50s? because of historic opportunity given to them by Japanese]
  2. but MNC's in India didn't play the Japanese role--corporations in India exported very little, unlike the Japanese, who had set up to export
  3. b/c of this, only State export promotion schemes were left--and these didn't work, for reasons already detailed. structure of policy apparatus wasn't coherent, and firms remained committed to domestic market.
(207): imp--the fact that reform was understood as 'less State intervention' rather than 'better State intervention' was a function of the 'balance of forces' [Vivek adds that this was generated by the planning process itself, though I'm unclear what this means, exactly? why did the failure of the planning process produce a more powerful capitalist class? isn't it the case that we had this already--absent a labour upsurge or like increase in State autonomy, this was the destined trajectory]

(209): imp-- bureaucracy reaction to crisis is to ignore plan directives even more, allow foreign capital partnerships to aid import of machinery (this just favored luxury consumption, etc.)

(210): PC was incapacitated by its lack of clout--but it also was implicated in debacle, which made it a prime target for attack

(214): PC duly marginalized under Shastri and Gandhi--power shifted to the ministries

(212, 214): 1964 Nehru dies. 1964-1966 Lal Bahadur Shastri. 1966-1984, w/ exception of 1977-1979, Indira Gandhi. over this period, PC loses all its power.

(217): push towards 'ministerial autonomy' [how do you think of this, structurally? what is the place of the story of 'purely political' conflict?]

(218): US aid for liberalization

(227): planning possible when domestic capital resists, if you have the power, which you can have if (a) bourgeoisie is too weak; (b) labour is strong as counterweight; (c) exceptional circumstances [what would this look like? we're certainly not talking about benign State-capital cooperation anymore]

(228): Taiwan example of (a) [but Pakistan? something else has to be going on]

(228): Postwar France an example of (b)

(229): postwar Japan an example of (c)

(233-236): lots of countries tried ELI in 60s and 70s, but failed. this, largely, was b/c of pre-existing ISI and b/c lack of 'cohesive' State [but former the case in Korea, too, and it doesn't matter; and latter, if important, needs explanation--in acct explained by ELI, no? Vivek focusing, then, rightly, on the inability to reduce 'entry costs'--Korea had this b/c of Japan, but others didn't, obviously]. other possibility was their 'socialization by the State', but this is precluded because of the balance of class forces--of course, there you need a solid State structure.

(239): underdevelopment precluded ELI for most countries

(240): a postwar France, in India?






----

[1] is there an ISI that could anchor development, given suitable State discipline?

[2] authoritarianism important for overcoming resistance of political elites?

[3] question of m-term/l-term rationality, re: accepting discipline? not so much, I think -- they need coordination of investment, etc. so they accept it, on s-term grounds. but worth asking

[4] technological assistance vs. discipline?

[5] Indian capitalists' position as the 'default'

Sunday, July 4, 2010

The size of Kashmir’s security forces has become a subject of some dispute, but most observers accept a rough figure of 700,000 to account for all of the various police, military and paramilitary units. By that estimate, India has established a force-to-population ratio of roughly 70 per 1,000. The Indian government claims only half that many are deployed; even so, the sheer density of troops can look almost absurd, as sweating young soldiers with automatic rifles stand around watching the city traffic or swatting flies in farmers’ fields. It’s far beyond the number of troops per 1,000 residents deployed against insurgencies in Northern Ireland (20), Bosnia (15), Iraq (18 to 22) and Afghanistan (13 to 15). However, some analysts have argued that conventional wisdom on troop density is flawed, and that successful counter-insurgency requires a much greater number of soldiers. This school of thought draws inspiration from the successful British campaign from 1948 to 1960 in what became Malaysia, which employed about 60 to 64 security personnel per 1,000 residents... However, such cold-blooded calculations are highly unpopular in the valley itself, where locals like to point out that even the crushing numbers deployed in the Vietnam war – 85 to 90 security personnel per 1,000 residents – could not prevent a bloody debacle.

Sunday, June 27, 2010

sumit sarkar, modern india: 1885-1947

(1): great, telling quote-- 'We shall not subvert the British Empire by allowing the Bengali Baboo to discuss his own schools and drains' (Finance Member Evelyn Baring).

(1): in early 1880s, Indians had only 16 of the 900-odd posts in the Civil Service; until 1947, no Indian rose above the rank of Brigadier in the Army

(3): despite contradictions, we are dealing with the "irreversible historical fact of the entry of the masses into active political life."

(13): the early 1880s (under Ripon and Dufferin) saw attempt to expand the circle of collaborators beyond princes and zamindars to the educated middle-classes.

(16): Indian troops used in 1882 in Egypt, in Sudan against Mahdi in 1885-1886 and 1896, and in China against the Boxers in 1900.

(16): military expenditure as % of gov't budget: 41.9% in 1881-1882, 45% in 1891-1892, and 51,9% in 1904-1905

(16): army had become 1/3 white after 1857; before it was only 14%

(16): priceless--Wood on divide-and-rule: "I wish to have a different and rival spirit in different regiments, so that Sikh might fire into Hindoo, Goorkha into either, without any scruple in case of need."

(17): Land revenue as single biggest source of income--receipts increased despite devastating famines of 1890s.

(18): story of import duties, thanks to Lancashire pressure, and countervailing excise tax.

(19): Sarkar's argument is that, at least in part, shift to local government/devolution had to do with increasing financial pressures.

(20): two arms to process of constitutional reform, throughout:
  1. rallying the moderates
  2. divide-and-rule
(21): elected municipalities sharpened Hindu-Muslim tensions as early as 1886 in Punjab. "separate electorates inevitably hardened the lines of division"

(21): Sec. of State Hamilton on Hindu-Muslim: "...One hardly knows what to wish for; unity of ideas and action would be very dangerous politically; divergence of ideas and collision are administratively troublesome. Of the two the latter is the least risky, though it throws anxiety and responsibility upon those on the spot where the friction exists."

(23): white racism affected Indian political elites (civil service exams held abroad) and economic elites (unity of white business men against Indian competitors)

(24): key--colonial economy. Dutt's theory spoke of three phases, though Sarkar points out that this is highly schematic:
  1. 1757 - 1813: direct plunder, E. India company monopoly trade, investment of surplus revenues in purchase of low priced Indian finished goods for export.
  2. 1813 - 1858: classic age of industrial exploitation, as India became market for Manchester textiles and a source for raw materials.
  3. 1858 - onwards: finance-imperialism began to entrench iteself through export of capital, British banks, export-import firms
(24-42): Sarkar discusses sevenfeatures of colonial economy
  1. Drain of Wealth: Plassey solved problem of bringing bullion from England--inland trade and land revenue was to provide capital for 'investments'. Profits of military conquest in Bengal were used to buy goods for export. Need for unilateral transfer of funds to Britain was a constant. (e.g., Home Charges in 1901-1902 came to 17.3 million pounds, of which a third were railway interest; 3 million was debt; army was 4.3 million; stores purchase was 3 million; and pensions were 1 million.) Part of this is India's export suprlus, which was vital for UK's balance of payments (Britain still required heavy imports of agricultural products, while manufacturers were having a tough time finding markets. India gave UK a captive market; and India's export surplus counterbalanced British deficits). Drain theory has been criticized for exaggerating figures, since foreign trade/export surplus were only a small part of the national income; but Naoroji's main point was about potential surplus which could have been reinvested in a way that benefited India.
  2. Deindustrialization: some discussion of the controversy over figures, but conclusion is that nationalists were not that incorrect.
  3. Commercialization of Agriculture: faux modernization. Bulk of profits from the export boom were appropriated by foreign firms, and left the country. "Capitalist penetration helped consolidate established structures of exploitation." "The central fact was the built-in tendency of the entire system against significant advances in productive technology..." The riskiness of investment in agriculture (owing to fluctuating or declining prices) meant that anyone who accumulated some funds would turn towards trade, usury, or renting-out land.
  4. Land Relations: Agrarian policies were moulded by competing priorities--need for more revenue, desire to encourage certain kinds of agricultural production, the need to retain allies, administrative convenience, and changing ideological assumptions. Permanent Settlement encouraged usuorious and feudal exploitation. Landed income remained parasitic in nature. In sum, "the direct producer was too oppressed to go in for improvements, while above him had developed a hierarchy of rentiers with no need to go in for enterpreneurial risks..."
  5. Agricultural Production--British intervened directly only in Punjab, western UP, and parts of Madras (irrigation, etc.) But even here research has thrown doubt on whether this was beneficial. "Colonial structure constituted a 'built-in-depressro for India's agrarian economy." Disastrous famines in the 1870s, the late-1890s, and twenty years later influenza killed millions. Till 1921, population hardly increased. And taking crop output into mind, post-1921 saw a drop in per capita production!
  6. Foreign Capital--Marx in 1853 vs. Marx in 1881: railways have proven 'useless to the Hindus'. Oriented to British commercial and strategic needs. Nor were there any multiplier effects, since machinery was imported. In general, tendency was towards creating 'capitalist enclaves'. In the 1870s, interest payments abroad regularly exceeded annual capital inflows.
  7. Indian Capitalist Development--British presence inhibited this through tariff and excise, and also through a variety of structural constraints.
(34): E. Bengal (favourable ecology meant a mass of independent peasants) vs. W. Bengal (peasants were splitting into rich farmers and share-croppers--the 'moribund delta')--

(35): in sum--"what remained largely absent was any structural need to invest in direct agricultural production... there was little incentive to technical innovation given the existence of a numerous rural proletariat... Not modernity, but a consolidation of semi-feudal relations was therefore the hallmark of the colonial impact on our agrarian scene." [for Zamindars and rich peasants]

(41): w-class was 2.1 million in a population of 303 million, in 1911 (800,000 of these in plantations). Concentration, though, would give it a power in excess of its numbers.

(41): an indenture system more like slavery than like wage-labour

(42): Pax Britannica as myth

(49): Moplahs of Malabar, in which religious fanaticism has expressed anti-landlord and anti-foreign discontent. Targeted at Hindu upper caste Nmboodri and Nairs [take-home of this entire section is very much the flexibility of religious ideologies, see p. 73--though Sarkar talks of the uniquely millenarian character of Islam, on p. 50]

(56): caste movements tended to be connected with intermediate groups, in this period

(59): Hindu-Muslim communalism as a 'modern' phenomena--"communal riots" rare until the 1880s. Sprung from elite conflict over political openings, but there were structural roots re: communalism in the "masses" (Hindu peasants faced muslim landlords in Avadh and Alagarh, opposite in E. Bengal; in Punjab, Hindu moneylenders, in UP opposite.

(62): point about how, in opposition to EP Thompson, rather than fall back on a rich tradition of artisan radicalism, the Indian working class fell back on sectional loyalties, etc.

(64): Indian business groups remained overwhelmingly loyalist until the 1920s (and even after the 20s, as Sarkar shows, their opposition was sectional and marred by a conservatism re: the mass movement)

(65): Congress in 1886 lacked members from the 'Old Aristocracy'

(67): British attitude to education was lousy. First bill to make primary education compulsory was moved by Gokhale in 1911, and rejected by majority on the Imperial Council.

(75-76): revivalist movements, around this period, in both Islam and Hinduism can be seen as a source of future tension, as they sought a religious idiom that rejected existing sycretic traditions (even if implicitly)

(77): Aligarh got unusual amount of British patronage--Sayyid Ahmed's social basis was UP Muslim landlords

(77): important--UP Muslim separatism had its roots in a traditional elite which felt increasingly threatened by Hindu trader, moneylenders, and professional groups. A similar case in reverse, in the Punjab [a la Alavi]

(78): Wahabism against syncretism in rural areas--sometimes heroically anti-British. Interesting analogy made to puritanical Kuka sect among the Sikhs.

(79): Jamal al-Din al-Afghani vs. Sayyid Ahmed--real bone of contention was against Ahmed's subservience to the British. Afghani himself pleaded for Hind-Muslim unity

(81-82): 1870s saw, in sum, emergence of nascent nationalism. Most important factors were racism, and awareness of colonial sources of poverty, Sarkar is arguing

(86): nationalist critique of colonialism had three pillars:
  1. drain of wealth through export surplus
  2. destruction of handicrafts, and tariffs
  3. excessive land revenue burdens
(87): nationalist critique, though, 'slurred-over' tensions in the the Indian society (no real mention of exploitation by Hindu zamindars, etc.)

(89): discrediting of Congress as 'safety-valve' theory. Dufferin hadn't really reacted to Hume; and anyway latter's persona lrole wasn't very significant.

(90): Gokhale in 1905 Presidential address could claim that educated were the natural leaders of the people.

(90): early Congress demands were ICS, discrimination, and civil rights-related

(92): highly elitist lifestyle of top Congress politicians--here noting that landholders, commerical magnates, and some industrialists were very much involved.

(94): Aligarh Muslims were very wary of elected councils, given their numerical inferiority

(97): 'extremism' emerged out of a critique of the moderate Congress that had been ongoing since the 1890s--for appealing to British public opinion, and for being a movement of the english-speaking elite. Took three main forms:
  1. self-development through constructive work
  2. mass mobilization for Swaraj through 'passive resistance'
  3. revolutionary terrorism
(99): emergence of Harkishan Lal in Punjab, in 1890s

(99): emergence of Bal Gangadhar Tilak in Maharashtra--use of religious orthodoxy, trailblazer of critique of Congress moderation

(101): Curzon's despotic paternalism [this sets the conditions under which nationalism emerges, the argument is--more-or-less]

(103): annual death from plague was at one million, yearly. and this after the cycle of famines that ended in 1899-1900.

(104): all-white juries in multi-racial cases, which Curzon didn't end, of course

(104): Curzon--"I hope I am making no false or arrogant claim when I say that the highest ideal of truth is to a large extent a Western conception."

(107): Why partition of Bengal, in 1905--"the really important political motive at this time was a division among the predominantly Hindu politicians of West and East Bengal.... 'Bengal divided will pull in several different ways...'"

(110): Swadeshi erupted from July 1905--but problem remained Hindu revivalist language, and inability to formulate radical agrarian programme to take advantage of peasant discontent.

(111): three broad trends in Bengal, 1905-1908
  1. 'constructive Swadeshi'
  2. political Extremism (foreshadowing Gandhism, minus tax or no-rent--which was deemed harmful to zamindar communities)
  3. terrorism
(115, 117): "the history... vividly illustrates limits of a movement with bourgeois aspirations, without bourgeois support."

(119): speculation/awareness of Russian revolution in Extremist journals, at this time

(121): the partition did have some support amongst upper and middle class Muslims, who opposed Swadeshi as E. Bengal promised them upward mobility

(122): paternalistic, 'good Zamindar' alternative proposed by R. Tagore, at this stage

(124): revolutionary terrorism as Swadeshi's most substantial legacy--but noting also its substantial social and political limitations, even while he's relatively enthusiastic about its efficacity

(127-128): Punjab in 1907 saw some discontent--including some signs of militnacy amongst the peasantry (which worried them, b/c it supplied 1/3 of Army). But died down after deportation of Lajpat Rai.

(131): spectre of the Russian Revolution, in Madras around this time

(133): important--Nationalists failed to concern themselves with labour conditions in Indian-owned factories, in contrast to foreign-owned.

(133): Tilak speeches 'remarkably free' of class-war tones, speaking in Bombay industrial area. even still, massive political strike when he was arrested in 1908--though agitation was short-lived.

(135-137): important--Surat Split in 1907. Most important factor for rigidity of Moderates in face of extremist pressures was the expectation of reforms, as Morley and the Liberals came to power in England.

(138-139): Minto-Morley discussion. Key point here is that the differences were less than the commonalities, in Sarkar's argument. Three major componentes to their policies (remained standard for the rest of colonial rule.
  1. repression
  2. concessions to moderates
  3. divide and rule (typified by separate electorates).
(140): details of Indian Councils Act 1909 (along the lines of the above)

(140-141): key--this represented the success of the Aligarh group, which had pleaded for separate electorates in recognition of the Muslim contribution to the 'defence of the British Empire'. here were the origins of the ML and political separatism.

(142): ML founded in 1907--membership was only 400. there was a income minimum of Rs. 500! That it still had influence with Minto reveals British willingness to foster separatism.

(143-144): a 'Young Party' captured the ML in 1912, though, after George V took back partition of Bengal, and British foreign policy aggravated Muslims. This pushed it towards greater militancy, says Sarkar, which in turn led towards Khilafat and a period of Hindu-Muslim cooperation.

(149): war-time mobilization against British rule (terrorism, Ghadr movement, collaboration with Germans) was met with a "formidable battery of repressive measures." Defence of India Act 1915 most intense repression since 1857.

(150): Tilak and Gandhi support WWI, of course--in hope that reforms would be reward

(150): December 1915 sees Congress and ML unity, a series of minimum constitutional demands. Lucknow Pact in December 1916, where Congress accepted separate electorates and Muslims accepted under-representation.

(151): Home Rule Leagues, under Besant and Tilak, organized the only real agitational work at this time, though (Congress considered it out of its purview). Discussion groups, pamphlets, lecture tours--significant in their size and scope, Sarkar's arguing, not in their break with Moderate politics.

(153): Besant somersault in late-1917, when Montagu promised 'responsible government'

(155): chivalry/heroism of Ranas of Chitor (in Tagore's poems), circa 1905, when these were gross feudal exploiters and servile loyalists

(157): elite vs. popular communalism? (Bihar riots in 1917, where 50,000 Hindus attacked Muslim villages)

(158): intensity of caste was greater in south India and Maharashtra, which is why movements along caste lines acquired greater social and political importance here

(160): Nairs and Nambudris--matrileal families, etc.

(164): Urdu-Hindi question--populist/communal angle in all of this

(165): key--three major changes after WWI:
  1. Montagu's constitutional reforms in August 1917, followed by Montagu-Chelmsford Report in 1918, and finally by the Government of India Act 1919 (which brought dyarchy, transfer of some functions to ministers of provincial governments which were 'responsible' to legislative assemblies).
  2. emergence of Gandhi as leader of mass nationalism
  3. important shifts in India's colonial economy
(166-167): against the liberal narrative, Sarkar very effectively points out that:
  1. devolution had financial motives--shifted burden of local expenditure, and had been forced by war pressures and weaknesses.
  2. dyarchy transferred departments with less political weight and little funds. this would discredit rather than empower the Indians who became ministers.
  3. and communal representation and reservations were considerably extended. part of the need, of course, for a wider circle of Indian collaborators.
(168): important--the above is less controversial than the question of the relationship of reforms to 'mass politics'. unlike Cambridge school, Sarkar thinks it impossible to explain the post-war mass awakening of 1919-1922 from these piecemeal reforms (at most it extended voting rights to between 1 and 3 percent of the adult population).

(168-169): rather, the War affected India through massive recruitments (army was expanded to 1.2 million, thousands of Indians died in mismanaged and alien campaigns; basically compulsory recruitment--355,000 in the Punjab!), heavy taxes and war loans (300% increase in war expenditure), and inflation (as raw materials/grains were trucked out to sustain the war effort; as well as hoarding, etc.)

(168): and WWI was linked, therefore, to a two-fold expansion of the national movement:
  1. to considerable sections of the peasantry
  2. towards business groups
(169): private comment of Bombay Governor Lloyd--"Large quantities of valuable fodder are being exported from here to Mesopotomia by the Army... Lucky the Horniman Press.. have not tumbled to the fact that fodder is being exported while the Deccan starves."

(170): key--British couldn't afford to further alienate the rural areas, which were providing the bulk of recruits, so the axe of increased taxes had to fall on trade and industry (customs, import duty, income tax, supertax and excess profits duty)

(170): statistics on inflation, 1913-1923 (from 143 to 215, index 1873=100)

(170): adverse impact on peasantry, in particular--rich peasant paying more for basic goods, but his produce was not increasing in price (terms of trade); poor peasants getting fleeced, of course.

(171): business groups made of with super-profits: War demand, declining foreign competition, price-differential between raw materials and industrial goods, and stagnating real wages. substantial industrial expansion in this period.

(171-172): important--Indian capitalism made a real breakthrough in this period, in the cotton-textile industry of Bombay and Ahmedabad, as Lancashire competition slackened. Indian mill production surpassed Lancashire imports. British gov't policy also shifted towards Indian industrial development, motivated by
  1. financial demands and
  2. realization that a minimum of economic self-sufficiency was a strategic necessity
(173): there's also, though, the whole tiff over the exchange rate (set at 1s 6d by the Hilton-Young Commission, in 1926). British wanted to maintain a high ratio, but Indian business groups wanted a lower ratio of 1s 4d, e.g.. This was b/c high ratio made it:
  1. easier to pay sterling expenditure for Home Charges
  2. benefited Englishmen repatriating pensions or profits
  3. stimulated import of Lancashire goods
(174): in sum, at this time, greater business involvement in nationalism was thus "in the logic of things." This was never going to be fullblown--there was considerable loyalism, too, motivated not least by their need for State support against labour unrest, as the working-class had been increasing in number, too (in December 1920 Chelmsford spoke of an 'epidemic strike fever')

(175): war and immediate post-war years mark the beginning of the Indian trade union movement.

(177): the source of uprising at this time was not just economic, Sarkar insists--part of a world-wide upsurge--anti-capitalist in developed countries, anti-imperialist in colonies and semi-colonies. Bolshevik spectre--Governor Willingdon describes Gandhi as one in May 1918, talks about UP agitation as Bolshevism, etc.

(178): Hindu-Muslim unity had been part of Gandhi's work in South Arica.

(179): in short, Gandhi's two-fold character:
  1. drawing-in the masses
  2. keeping mass activity strictly pegged down to forms pre-determined by the leader (above all non-violence)
(180): key point--Sarkar stressing that the perspective of "controlled mass participation" objectively fitted in with sentiments of socially-decisive Indians. social revolution was off the cards with Gandhi, and this proved acceptable to business groups, and better-off sections of the peasantry, both of whom stood to lose.

(180): third point about Gandhi, made here, is his obscurantism. a reaction to failures of colonization, of course, but never a solution--"live the simple life of a peasant."

(181): the Indian people always fashioned their own images of Gandhi--the 'role of rumor'

(182): point here also about the limits of peasant consciousness--represented still by a "savior from above" [though this isn't well-substantiated by the enormous variety of peasant upheaval in these and later years]

(186): Gandhi moderation--intervention in Ahmedabad dispute between mill-owners and their workers. workers assailed him for being a friend of the mill-owners, for riding in their cars, etc. He won a 35% wage-increase, after being stung by these taunts. But here was founded the Textile Labour Association of 1920, on the basis of the concept that owners were 'trustees' for workers, the interdependence of capital and labor. Gandhi, remember, would keep strictly aloof from the AITUC--fundamentally, his was a paternalistic message of "class peace"

(187): Rowlatt Act, March 1919--attempted to make war-time restrictions on civil liberties permanent. A bit to conciliate segment of white opinion that resented Montagu's liberal promises and the granting of dyarchy.

(188-189): a further change in leadership in the ML (Abdul Bari and Ansari, who hailed Gandhi as the 'interpid leader of India'). Ansari came out in favor of satyagraha against the Rowlatt Act. Congress was not in the picture; to be organized by the Satyagraha Saba.

(189): in short, patchy organizational work before the storm that arose in April 1919--"the biggest and most violent all-India upsurge since 1857. " Almost entirely urban, lower middle-class groups more important than workers--but an "elemental upheaval"

(190): O'Dwyer frightened by remarkable Hindu-Muslim-Sikh Unity in early 1919, in Punjab--this in a province noted for communal divisions (description of Hunter Commissions confirms this)

(191): April 13, 1919--Jallianwalla Bagh (Dyer's regret was that his ammunition had run out--went on, after it, with his job of 'producing a moral effect')

(191): Lahore virtually controlled by a People's Committee, between 11 and 14 April, 1919 (but not revolutionary)

(192): in the whole of Punjab, 4 whites killed, 1200 Indians dead.

(195): some controversy at Amristar Congress in December 1919, over how to treat the Motford Reforms (Moderate group split off, Gandhi was actually in favor of a resoluting thanking Montagu and promising cooperation with the councils, Tilak opposed--this would be totally reverssed by the next-year).

(196): Khilafat movement first calls for Non-Cooperation in November 1919. Both Gandhi and their leaders were eagerfor Hindu-Muslim unity. In June 1920, a formal programme was agreed--"victory of the radicals, now backed by Gandhi."Congress, depsite opposition from CR Das and Tilak and Motilal, agree by December 1920--apparently after they see poor election prospects. This is when Gandhi basically takes control of Congress, which becomes a real mass political party for the first time.

(200): Gandhi moderation--Gandhi skipped first AITUC session in October 1920 (Motilal Nehru, Vithalbhai Patel, Annie Besant, and Jinnah(!) were there). Didn't even send a message. The weapon of the political general strike would never be allowed to enter the armory of Non-Cooperation.

(204-206): Non-Cooperation upsurge of 1921-1922, in four phases (and Gandhi moderation):
  1. January-March 1921, central emphasis on students leaving school
  2. July 1921: radicalization, boycott of courts and visit of Prince of Wales (but not full-scale civil disobedience and non-payment of taxes)
  3. November 1921: countrywide hartal and violent clashes in Bombay (Gandhi says 'Swaraj stung my nostrils')
  4. November 1921-February 1922: gov't nearly brought to its knees. large-scale arrests, ban on meetings--country on brink of revolt. But Gandhi calls it off, after Chauri Chaura.
(207): the ec. boycott was successful, the value of imports of foreign cloth almost halved in this time.

(207): important--Business support brought about a qualitiative change in the Congress funds situation. Yet labor agitation kept the industrialists (not the merchants) ambivalent.

(207): Gandhi moderation--"Strikes do not fall within the plan of non-violent non-cooperation (Feb 1921)... In India we want no political strikes... We seek no to destroy capital and labour. We want to harness capital to our side. It would be folly to encourage sympathetic strikes. (June 1921).

(209): Gandhi moderation--no-revenue could be planned, after hesitation, for a raiyatwari area like Bardoli, but nor for a zamindari area where it would mean no-rent. Gandhi 'deprecated all attempts to create discord between landlords and tenants... for they had to join all forces in fighting against the most powerful zamindar, namely the Government."

(211): again, remarkable communal unity in the Punjab in 1921--to be lost, after 1922

(212): Gandhi moderation--discipline of non-violence fitted in perfectly with the interests of peasant-proprietors.

(212): Gandhi vs. Lenin, by Dange, which was symptomatic of an increasing current of critique of Gandhi's role.

(213): Non-Cooperation-Khilafat penetrated the South, too.

(216): again, the Mophlahs of Malabar--by far the most violent of the millenarian outbursts of 1921--a massive popular rebellion, with an inevitable communal aspect (much-exaggerated, though, says Sarkar). numerous 'Khilafat republics' were set up under various presidents. though hundreds of Hindus were killed, these figures are quite low considering that the 'fanatics' controlled an area inhabited by 400,000 Hindus for mohnths, many of whom were landlords and moneylenders. Central fact is its suppression--killed 2,500 rebels, with 45,000 prisoners. mas of British liberalism fell of completely. The Moplah Black Hole at Podanur, too.

(218): important--Communal unity in Bengal, too, between 1921 and 1922--possibly the greatest strength and unity in the entire history of the national movement in Bengal.

(221): Bengal burst Gandhi's bounds; Bihar embodied it (most solid work done there, said Gandhi)--could say Gandhi moderation.

(223): UP Congress leadership was partly more responsive to peasant outbursts than in Bihar, but probably because there the Avadh talukdar was loyalist. Even here a restraining role was evident. Nehru, interestingly, condemned this plebian outburst--Nehru had them put up their hands and turned over to police!

(225): Chauri Chaura, and Gandhi moderation--"a matter of shame" that British attempt to execute 172 people was not protested (eventually 19 were hanged, the rest transported). Only protest was by MN Roy. Nehru recalled that Gandhi's decision was resented; Gandhi's defence of decision cited non-violence, and the threat of the 'unruly element'. Bardoli resolution had noted that withdrawal of rent to Zamindars was contrary to Congress spirit.

(225-226): important--Sarkar is noting that Gandhi never did anything more than he claimed to believe in, and that the fizzling out of the movement when Gandhi demanded it speaks to its subjective weaknesses .

(227): swaraj for masses, not just for classes (Das)

(228): spinning qualification to enter Congress.

(230): Gandhi moderation--Gandhi refused to condemn the caste system in principle, even while he spoke about Harijan welfare (and didn't at all tackle the basic economic issues of landless and agricultural laborers that were the bulk of the untouchables).

(231-233): the politics of Council Entry

(233-234): important--unprecedented growth of Hindu and Muslim communalism was the most negative development after 1922. Sarkar points blame, first, at the very logic of participation in post-1919 political structure, which extended separate electorates. A built-in temptation for politicians working within the system to use sectional slogans. A second factor was spread of ecutation without employment opportunities--scramble for scarce resources fed it.

(235): ML revived, as Khilafat bodies petered away--Jinnah presided over Lahore session in 1924, which was the first to meet separately from Congress, and ML raised demand for federation and full provincial autonomy, danger of 'Hindu domination'

(235-237): rise of Hindu Mahsabha, etc.

(237): noting that Hindu Right didn't have a better record than the ML in terms of loyalism.

(237): key--by 1927 (Motilal Nehru depressed), the British were stiffening policy, now that post-war anti-imperialist upsurge had died down.

(238): important--economic contradictions sharpening. for elite-- again, tiff over exchange rate--Birla and Thakurdas found the FICCI, spokesperson of Indian bourgeoisie. for masses--no improvement in living standards in the 1920s--agricultural productivity stagnated, land revenue revisions in Bombay and Madras, working-class faced an employer offensive.

(240): Congress and Zamindars (and Gandhi moderation)--again, unresponsive to no-rent and to share-cropper efforts (evident in Bengal)

(243): Ambedkar in Madras, appears in 1920s

(244): noting that, net, 1922-1927 was period of decline, for labor.

(245): Gandhi moderation[!]--in Ahmedabad, 1925, urged workers not to embarass employers during depression: 'Faithful servants serve their masters even without pay.'

(246): Bombay proletariat won their mill-owners a suspension of the excise duty, after massive strikes in 1924 and 1925

(247): birth of Communist movement, from disgruntled nationalists (October 1920, founded in Tashkent)

(249): important--till Left turn at 6th Comintern Congress in 1928, Indian communist groups were working within the nationalist movement, even while being critical of Congress. Vanguard praised Gandhi, though after 1928 they spoke of him as a bourgeois mascot.

(250): CPI in 1959 said real founding was in 1925

(252-253): mid-late 1920s saw both Bose and Nehru turning left

(254): 1927-1937 in three phases:
  1. offensive (1927-1931): beginning with all-white Simon Commission in 1927, to consider constitutional changes, national movement fought itself to a position of near-equality with Gandhi-Irwin pact of March 1931.
  2. c-offensive (1931-1934): smashing of Congress, ostensibly
  3. offensive (1934-1937): Congress rebound, with sweeping electoral triumph in March 1937 elections
(255): pattern of using princes against nationalism continues--giving Indians a strong Centre, but making sure that Central Assembly had a nominated and powerful princely contingent (coupled with continued 'divide and rule' agitation)

(256): ML lost in '37 elections to regional parties (Krishar-Praja and Unionist). important argument here is that failure of Congress (and failure of unity, ultimately) rested in the party's inability to develop a radical agrarian programme in Bengal and Punjab.

(258): depression hit middle-peasants the hardest (i.e., those with a surplus to sell), unlike post-1918, which had hurt poor peasants. this was reflected in patterns of mobilization in the 30's

(258): crucial--depression also brought about change in the pattern of British exploitation of India--until 1929, India had still been taking in 11% of British exports, her export-surplus with non-UK countries was crucial to Britain's balance of payments, and she was a site of British capital investment in extractive industries (mining, tea, and jute). now, though, as value of exports plummeted, Home Charges could only be met by massive exports of gold. this crisis, acutely felt by Lancashire, was behind the political counter-offensive [though this was a losing battle, he suggests--by the mid-30's, you wree starting to see a new kind of dependent Indian industrialization]

(260): crucial--with the depression, the 'national bourgeoisie came into its own. the weight of bourgeois groups in national politics expanded massively in the 30s.

(261): once again, though, peak point of labor militancy didn't coincide with nationalist upheaval (1928-29 was labor peak)

(261): wow--economic stagnation statistics. at 1938-1939 prices, per capita national income in 1916-1917 was 60.7 rupees, and in 1946-1947 it was 60.4!

(262): a last gasp at unity, 1927-1928--prospects seemed bring in 1927. Jinnah had persuaded some Muslim leaders to give up on separate electorates in exchange for guaranteed representation. Congress was close to agreeing, but alas: Hindu-communalist pressure from Punjab and Maharashtra pressured Congress into this not happening--the Nehru (drafted by Motilal, in 1928, at All-Parties Conference) report made concessions to the Mahsabha.

(263): Jinnah, in 1928, appears a striking activist for unity. Jinnah finally gave up, though, after being rebuffed, and in March 1929 put forward the 'Fourteen Points.' [Sarkar tries to underplay the significance of this failure, because there were deeper issues that would have made reconciliation difficult to sustain. But he acknowledges its importance]

(265): Princes, again, surface for the British at a time when the nationalist struggle threatens to erupt (after they had retreated in importance in the mid-1920s.

(265): Nehru report's basic conservatism, re: property

(267): Gandhi reprimanding Nehru on his incipient radicalism, in the late 20s (this was when he attended the meeting of the League Against Imperilaism, passed resolutions praising Sacco and Vanzetti, etc.)

(269): Bhagat Singh's transition to Marxism took place in context of massive labour upsurge, in 1928-1929

(271): huge strike in Bombay mills, 1928--which was met with a huge capitalist and government cuonter-offensive (Pathans employed as strike-breakers, leading to communal riots. A note of real alarm, and British alliance with the Indian capitalists against Indian workers)

(272): 1929 Meerut Conspiracy Case, in which trade union leadership was rounded up till 1933

(273-274): The suggestion here is that the labor movement was declining fast, but that the decline of Communists was due not to just this fact, but also to the larger Third Period strategy. No chance of links between communists and Congress, despite communist links in the trade union movement [all this said, it is unclear what the counterfactual is, here]

(274): Subhas Bose fails to defend peasants and sharecroppers during debate on Tenancy Bill in Bengal

(275): summary of Praja party and Unionist party base--and the weakness of Congress, giving in to communalism and agrarian conservatism

(279): the classic ambivalence of the national bourgeoisie--starting to come into their own, but terrified of their workers (and thus in need of the colonial state)

(281-283): key, Gandhi moderation--Gandhi as a break on the mass struggle in 1928-1929--not letting it erupt, opposing resolutions calling for complete independence (the roots of this, Sarkar argues, lay in the fact that the regions and social groups most active in this time were precisely those in which he had no base) But negotiations between Gandhi and Irwin would break down in December 1929.

(283): Nehru becomes President of Congress at Lahore in December 1929--says I am a socialist, lampoons 'trusteeship'. Yet, Sarkar notes, Gandhi was still "firmly in command" (in terms of resolutions passed, etc.). January 1930, however, Congress adopts tricolor. Move towards struggle.

(285-286): Gandhi plumps for salt march, which--unlike Nehru's proposal for a no-rent campaign--aligned perfectly well with Gandhi moderation (not socially divisive, but more symbolic)

(287-288): Ghaffar Khan's story--disciple of Gandhi by 1929. A striking example of unity in NWFP, where Hindu soldiers refuse to fire on Muslims.

(290): in short, though, communal unity of 1919-1922 was a "thing of the past" by 1930

(291): labor and the urban intelligentsia took a back seat this time; now business groups and large sections of the peasantry rose

(292): two phases, divided by September-October 1930
  1. high point of bourgeois participation, and controlled peasant mobilization (successful boycott of cloth i mports, etc.)
  2. decline in enthusiasm from urban merchants, alarm-signals from business groups--some portent of socially more dangerous forms.
(297): base of Gandhi controlled mass-movement was Gujarat (Anand, Borsad, Nadiad, Jambusr, Bardoli)

(302-303): Gandhi moderation--in areas where theere hadn't been previously estabilshed Gandhian centers, peasant mobilization could become quite militant. in sum, the pattern was same as the Swadeshi days--"the failure to develop any clear anti-zamindar or anti-moneylender programme, at a time when rural tensions where mounting."

(303): in Punjab, an urban Hindu trader bias, leaving Muslim and Sikh peasants in the lurch

(304): Congress had established a base among small landlords and better-off tenants through constructive work (even if big zamindars remained overwhelmingly loyalist)

(305): lower-class militancy led the enthusiasm of these elite groups to decline (Bihar group welcomed March 1931 truce)

(306): UP Congress was more radical--here there was a no-tax movement (both because Nehru was in leadership, and because zamindars in UP were demonstratively loyalist)

(307): in sum, given what has already been noted, Sarkar is arguing that the trend towards compromise was inevitable.

(308): Simon Commission submitted its report on May 1930

(309): again, at the Round Table Conference, the Hindu Mahshabha made impossible any agreement on minority representation. Jinnah was again ready to compromised with reserved seats, but they were unwilling to give up in Punjab and Bengal (Hindu zamindars were disproportionately powerful, remember, since universal suffrage was not being introduced)

(311): Why Gandhi-Irwin? "some evidence that the crucial role was played by business pressures."

(311): from March to December 1931, then, there was an uneasy truce. Broken by the second Civil Disobdedience movement in January 1932.

(312): Karachi Congress, March-April 1931 -- revealed the weaknesses of Left critics of Gandhi. Basically submitted to his will. Indication of weakness of the Left-no real alternative leadership emerged, and rural militancy remained entirely spontaneous. Communists were still in their Left-Sectarian phase, expelling Nehru from League Against Imperialists and feuding with Bose causing a split in AITUC

(313): 1931 was the moment to launch a no-rent, no-revenue campaign, but Congress had to hold back the peasantry to honor the pact

(314): assasination of Stevens by two schoolgirls

(315): pressures from below, on truce

(317): strongly pro-zamindar line taken by Congress, in Bihar

(319): maintaining the overvalued currency rate, and powers of Viceroy in matters of finance at the second session Round Table Conference (September-December 1931)

(320): Gandhi out-manuevered in December, had accepted parity with a variety of sectional interests. On 4 January second civil disobedience launches; British struck preemptively to break the movement before it got off the ground. Some 120,000 arrested in the first year.

(323): continued failure of Congress to champion a radical agrarian programme helped spur separatist Muslim peasant movements--this is where, in 1932, Maulana Bhasani enters the picture, demanding abolition of zamindari in Bengal

(325): peasant radicalism was increasingly seeking forms of expression outside of Congress proper

(326): important--while fighting the depression elsewhere with stimulus, it had spelt austerity for British India, of course

(327): critical juncture--with British pressure particularly intense 1932-1934, there was a realignment of business attitudes--arguing for less mass agitation, and towards Assembly and eventually ministerial participation. this was going to help Indian capitalists get over the split in their own ranks. [Gandhi's role in facilitating this is his ultimate legacy, I would add]

(328): Gandhi's obscurantism and moderation--attributing a Bihar earthquake in 1934 to the sins of caste Hindus. working now, more and more, on Harijan issues, but his stance was confined to social reform (delinked from economic demands--even though many Harijans were agricultural laborers).

(330): Gandhi moderation--Gandhi wrote a April 1934 letter to Birla, saying the reins of Congress should be in the hands of those who favor council-entry. this was a time, then, of the definite formation of a Congress Right (Gandhian constructive-workers combine with advocates of council-entry)

(331): When Gandhi called of Civil Disobedience in April 1933, Subhas Bose and Vithalbhai Patel repudiated his leadership.

(331-332): 1934-1935 marks the height of Nehru's interest in Marxism--encapsulated in his letters to his daughter. But he, "as always," draws back from a total breach with Gandhi. Did not approve of moves to start a socialist party.

(332): despite this, the CSP was started in May 1934--ideology ranged from radical nationalism to Marxian 'scientific socialism' (this was not a t all welcomed by the Right-leaning Congress)

(333): CSP contribution was mixed--on the one hand built up partly b/c of opportunism, on the other hand putting important issue s on the table (and built close links with the emerging Kisan Sabha movement)

(334): CSP was also sort of a bridge, by which radical nationalists passed onto the CPI (many communists also used the CSP as a front, as the CPI remained illegal from 1934 to 1942)

(335): by 1934, there was an upward tick in labor militancy and trade union work. It was this that was responsible for the CPI being banned in 1934. This didn't weaken the movement, though, because it was soon to come out of its sectarian phase (by 1935, 7th Comintern Congress had pushed a United Front perspective--there were also internal pressures, he's arguing)

(336): Gov't of India Act, 1935--the process that had begun with the Simon Commission of 1927 ended in the Govt of India Act, 1935 (from 1932 on, there was no real Indian participation in the making of the constitution). Virtually all sections of Indian public opinion criticized the Act as making very little progress over 1919 (dyarchy had been replaced by 'responsible government', and the electorate was expanded from 6.5 to 30 million. But governors retained discretionary powers, etc.).

(338): key--all signs were of a lurch to the Left. But in the end the Right was able to utilize the storm, and by 1937 Congress would be running in elections.

(340): even the Kissan Sabhas had trouble dealing with political implications of differentiation amongst the peasantry

(343-347): key--Nehru's addresses at Lucknow and Faizpur (April, December 1936) seem to mark height of Left influence (scientific socialism, condemning Italian and Japanese aggression, solidarity with Republican Spain). Domestic programme was radical, too. His working committee included three socialists. But the Left advance was "illusory and verbal" as regards the crucial decisions. Right-wing had consolidated itself--though they were alarmed by Nehru's Lucknow address, they responded strategically, noting that no real promises had been made. Right-wing would benefit immensely from a change in the attitudes of the old No-Chnagers (Vallabhai Patel, etc.). Gandhi moderation also was critical--didn't want to launch a mass strategy, b/c of strength of Left. Gandhi patches up quarrel in the working committee, and Nehru makes the concessions. Dropping of anti-zamindar demands from the Kisan manifesto, etc. [this is perhaps the most crucially negative role Gandhi plays throughout the whole freedom struggle]

(349): 1937 election results. Congress does very well; ML does terribly.

(350): Gandhi and Right-wing win motion re: office-entry after the elections

(352): and this Right shift thus explains the absence of major conflict between ministries and British officialdom from the taking of office till September 1939.

(353): important--with these elections, Muslims were decisively alienated--some argue particularly irked by pro-Hindu policy during these two years in power. Congress spurned coalition with ML (dismissed as a 'coterie of knights, Khan Bahadurs, Nawabs') in UP--which would prove portentous, as ML's revival was to be centered on this province.

(354): important--from the Lucknow session on (October 1937), though, the ML made a determined effort to build up a populist image. It accepted independence as a goal, recruited 100,000 members in the UP--and was able to obtain adherence of Unionist Sikander Hayat Khan and Krishak Praja leader Fazlul Haq (pushed into alliance with ML after failing to reach agreement with Congress) [Sarkar makes an important point, here--it's not as much Congress' failure to reach agreement with ML in 1937, as it is the failure to develop genuine agrarian radicalism that led to the communal divides of the 40s]

(355): ML was, in the late 30s, quite a sad spectacle--they accused Congress of pro-Hindu policy, but at least partly exaggerated (rejected Congress offer of an inquiry). They didn't have a clear programme. Jinnah in May 1938 insisted on being recognized as the sole representative of Muslims, which was entirely outlandish at any time before mid-1940s (at the very least) [in 1937 elections, only strong amongst Muslims in UP, Bombay, Madras--weak in Bengal, negligible in NWFP and Punjab, and failed to form gov't in Sindh]

(356): example of Congress conservatism leading to communalism--in NWFP, Khan Sb. lost support amongst peasants after failing to take adequate measures to reduce rural indebtedness; in N. and C. India, Hindu tinge to Congress populism (it was only in December 1938, that Mahsabha folks couldn't be in Congress; this had been the case for ML for longer time, as Azad used to complain)

(359): national capitalists in alliance with Congress in the late 1930s--foreign competition was a major threat to Indian capitalists (Unilever had displaced Godrej, etc.). More far-sighted of the bourgeoisie, it is being argued here, were ready to accept some measure of State direction [enter Vivek]

(361-363): more importantly, re: Labor and Agriculture--The Bombay Trade Dispute Act (November 1938) was terrible for the trade union movement--Gandhian trade union movement accepted it, of course. Subhas Bose made some private protests but didn't take a public stance. A conservative record re: agrarian issues, as well. Well short of moderate proposals made before coming into power.

(364): Kisan occupation of Bihar Assembly

(365): AIKS had its base in peasantry with some land, still

(366): Gandhi moderation--against Congress intervention in the affairs of Princely states, at first showing "exceptional rigidity" (some very limited attempts at "controlled mass struggle" in Rajkot, where there was little danger of agrarian radicalism. But failed)

(369): Gandhi moderation--refused to let Congress get involved in agitation in Hyderabad, in 1938

(370-371): not much disagreement in Left at this time re: staying in Congress, though attempts were made to have them adopt a more sympathetic stance toward popular demands (in private, Nehru and Bose expressed misgivings). Internationally, Left set the tone, thanks to Nehru in large part--many 'internationalist gestures'

(372): key juncture, Bose vs. Gandhi in early 1939--Bose elected president, but Gandhi and Congress right maneuvered to dismiss him (with the help of Gandhi--Nehru supported Gandhi, and the Left had been ambivalent re: support for Bose). Replaced by Gandhian right-winger Rajendra Prasad.

(375): by October 1939, Congress resigns from ministries, faced with Linlithgow's declaration of war [an element of luck, almost, given the immense problems they were having, in power]

(375): don't forget that Congress hostility to fascism had been far more trenchant and principled than the British--there were offers for full cooperation in the War Effort, dependent on certain minimum conditions

(376): Defence of India Ordinance came into force, restricting civil liberties (British had support of liberal and even left elements, especially after 1941)

(377): encouragement of the ML was an important aspect of war-time imperialist strategy

(378): ML really needed a positive platform after 1937--this was the context in which the Pakistan demand started to acquire importance, he's arguing (before it wasn't taken seriously--Iqbal's pres. address in 1930 was ambiguous wrt to partition)

(381-382): important--a weak Civil Disobedience campaign was run from 1940-1941--very limited and ineffective (sole issue was freedom of speech). [acc to Sarkar, this can be put down to Gandhi moderation--expressed concern about radicalism within movement].

(382): except for MN Roy, entire Left was behind the anti-war struggles until 1941--then division between CSP and CPI would emerge (the Nazi-Soviet Pact was an asset for Indian communists, remember).

(382): all told, though, no significant movement in the face of British repression

(383): Bose off to Germany

(383): weakness of national movement had economic roots, Sarkar is arguing--war brought gains rather than losses for substantial sections of the population (peasantry not hurt so bad, industrial development received a major stimulus)

(384): German invasion of Russia confronted CPI with very difficult choice--it took them six months to plump, in Jan 1942, for the war effort

(385-386): Cripps Mission was sponsored in 1942, after it was realized that some measures must be taken to placate Indian opinion--but plagued throughout, and torpedoed, by misunderstanding (Churchill's intransigence foremost among them--Cripps went considerably beyond what Churchill was willing to concede)

(388-389): August 1942, Quit India resolution was passed by the Bombay session of the AICC (some radicalism here in W. Committee resolution, though not coincidental, Sarkar is arguing, that the Communists were not out of the picture--Gandhi moderation)

(390): some disagreements over fasicsm and the desirability of Japanese rule, etc. (Bose vs. Nehru)

(391-392): key--British got much more than they bargained for--instead of Civil Disobedience a la 1932, there was the most militant outburst since 1857. Deeper factors underlay the popular mood, rel. to treatment of Indians in SE Asia after Japanese takeover; effects of blackmarket and food shortage profiteering; even some business may have come around to the movement, Sarkar is saying.

(394): three phases
  1. urban revolt, till mid-August--hartals, strikes, clashes with police
  2. mid-August till September--veritable peasant rebellion, in countryside
  3. September on--weakened by repression, l. formidable phase, of terroristic activity
(395): White Terror

(396-397): short-lived and limited role of Labor

(397): students played very central role; peasantry were even more critical

(398): intensity of anti-foreign sentiment diluted internal class tensions, Sarkar is arguing

(399): Muslims, alas, were aloof from 1942 (NWFP was very weak, for example)

(400): capturing of police stations, setting up of national governments, running of people's courts, etc.

(404): in sum-- by the end of 1942, British had come out victorious in their confrontation with Indian nationalism--for the remaining two and a half years of the war, there was no serious political challenge. But their victory had come at the cost of serious repression, and required a ruthless use of force permissible only under war conditions. Wavell pointed out that it would be impossible to hold India after the war.

(405): Quit India and jail terms, afterwards, had the effect of wiping out the record of Congress ministries in office. Communists, on the other hand, branded as traitors

(406): details of 1943 man-made famine--aggravated by mismanagement and deliberate profiteering, etc.

(408): the ML advance--took full advantage of Congress suppression (installed ministries in Assam, Sind, Bengal, NWFP)

(409): Pakistan started to mean all sorts of things to Muslim peasants--in Bengal, Abdul Hashem was cultivating a radical image for the party.

(410): Muslim Bourgeoisie comes into the picture, backing the ML (Isapahani and Adamjee)

(411): INA--never meant much, military. Axis powers already in retreat by 1944

(411-413): CPI People's War line, and Adikhari Thesis on Pakistan (tried desperately to find progressives within the League--Abdul Hashem, for example). People's War was a mistake, but not a tragedy--legalization had its benefits, and the AITUC doubled between 1942 and 1944

(414): in short--above all, popular action made continuance of British rule untenable--fear of popular 'excesses', too, made Congress leaders cling to the path of negotiation and compromise. the limitations of the popular anti-imperialist movements made partition possible.

(415): Churchill the asshole--sent a telegram to ask why Gandhi hadn't died yet, etc.

(416): Gandhi-Jinnah talks in September 1944 unsuccessful

(416): key, ML position until August 1946 was actually quite weak--Khan Sb.'s ministry was restored in NWFP, the PUnjab Unionists broke with Jinnah in mid-1944, and the Nazimuddin Ministry fell in Bengal in March 1945. In Sind and Assam ML ministries existed on Congress sufferance. "little evidence that the League would be able to organize real mass sacntions..."

(417): Simla Conference, June-July 1945--Jinnah's intransigence torpedoed negotiations, as he asked for a communal veto in the Executive. Wavell granted Jinnah the veto; no attempt was made to call the League's bluff.

(417): Labor government entered, July 1945. But what was really changing was the objective situation--anti-imperialist wave (and Communist, in Europe) was sweeping the world. With a war-weary army and people, Britain would have to have retreated, whomever was in gov't.

(418): decisive shift in British attitude came about as a result of mass pressure in autumn and winter of 1945-1946--the trigger was the INA trials (November 1945), as well as use of Indian army units to restore French and Dutch colonial rule, all exacerbated by post-war problems of unemployment, high prices, food shortages (rations at 1,200 calories)

(420): Congress fighting with the CPI

(421): tricolor unity in anti INA trials (students tying together Congress, League, and Red Flags)

(422): question of non-violence/violence quite dynamic--many people at AICC session in September 1945 glorifying use of violence

(422): some talk of Pakistaan as an "Indian N. Ireland."

(423): February 1946, the Royal Indian Navy strikes--another example of joint-flag raising. remarkable scenes of intercomunal unity. involved 20,000 ratings, at its peak. CPI called for gen. strike in Bombay, 300,000 heeded. Two army battallions were needed to restore order, at the price of 228 civilian lives.

(425): Gandhi moderation--unequivocally hostile to the strike, a 'bad and unbecoming example'

(426): Congress decisively rejected mass confrontation--concentrated all their energies on fighting the elections. Patel in charge.

(426-427): Elections of 1946 marked by communal voting. Very limited franchise (10% in provinces, 1% for the C. Assembly), which had something to do with this. Congress did well; ML did incredibly well (won 86.6% of Muslim votes). But didn't win in Punjab (Unionists got power with Congress and Sikh support, despite winning less seats than ML--see p.434); Congress won in NWFP and Assam. Set up ministries in Bengal and Sindh, but depended on official support.

(427): report that while ML had the support of elite Muslims, Congress still had support of less well-to-do Muslims due to promise of ec. reforms (in any case, League claim to represent all Muslims was never really tested--not in elections, not in mass movements)

(428): Cabinet Mission, March-June 1946

(428): Wavell describing 'necessity to avoid mass movemetn which it is in the power of Congress to start'

(429): Strike wave in 1946 surpassed all previous records--Congress, of course, was uimpressed, worried about growing lack of discipline

(430): ML accepts Mission proposal (May 1946), but interprets it as a path to future sucession; Congress accepts with reservations. ML withdraws its acceptance in July 1946. Goes in for Direct Action Day.

(431): 'Labor situation is becoming increasingly dangerous... a more responsible gov't needed..."

(432): "communal holocaust" of Direct Action Day (16-19 August 1946)--4000 killed, 10,000 injured

(434): setting of stage in Punjab

(435): evidence of British passivity in face of the "communal inferno"

(435-436): ML obstructionism at the Centre (Congress-League coalition), as things approach their end. By early 1947, partition is on the mind.

(437): this is Gandhi's finest hour--"with undiminished courage decided to stake his all" in opposition to communalism.

(438): the counterfactual for Sarkar, though, is an alternative of militant mass struggle--which was the only thing that British dreaded. Communal divisions were periodically forgotten, when people were summoned to baricades (after August massacre in Calcutta, a tram strike the next January, etc.)

(442-445): Guerilla war in Telengana between July 1946 and October 1951--led by Communists (though urban Muslim population in Hyderabad was aloof). More than any other factor, this brought down the princely state of Hyderabad.

(447-448): deconstructing the myth of Mountbatten--responsible for break-neck speed, totally failed to prevent massacres in Punjab. code-name Plan Balkan.

(449): regional alternatives of non-communal dimensions--proposal for united Bengal, free Pathan state (to counter ML communal agitation in NWFP), etc. June 3 plan put paid to all these proposals, as provincial assemblies were given two choices.

(449): in NWFP, just 50.99% of 9.52% of the population decided to accede to Pakistan in a plebiscite (no universal franchise in the plebiscite!--and NWFP congress had boycotted it!)

(450): Quit Kashmir movement launched by Sheikh Abdullah against Hindu Maharaja--but then Maharaja acceded in October 1947





Sunday, June 13, 2010

Pakistan is increasing its defense budget 17 percent for the coming year, to $5.2 billion. While Pakistan increases its defense spending every year, to try and keep up with archrival India, it rarely goes up this much. The increase this year was mostly due to the war against the Taliban in the tribal territories, and Islamic terrorism in general. At the same time, most of the increase is covered by military aid from the United States (which has provided some $10 billion in military aid in the last eight years.). Two years ago, for the first time in over four decades, Pakistan released information on its defense spending. That year's spending was $4.1 billion. That figure explains why this data has been kept secret for so long. That's because Pakistan's military rival, and neighbor, India was, two years ago, increasing its defense budget by nearly 50 percent, to $39 billion. The difference should be no surprise. India has six times the population (at 1.1 billion) and 7.5 times the GDP ($1.1 trillion compared to $145 billion). India's economy has been booming for over a decade, while Pakistan's largely stagnates.

Monday, January 25, 2010

barrington moore, social origins of dictatorship and democracy (1966)

preface and acknowledgments (xi-xix)

(xi): animated by skepticism of thesis that "industrialism was the main cause of twentieth-century totalitarian regimes, because of the veyr obvious fact that Russia and China were overwhelmingly agrarian countries when the communists established themselves."

(xii-xiii): clarifying why these countries, in particular (and why not looking at small countries--there decisive influence comes from without).

(xiii): "The focus of interest is on innovation that has led to political power, not on the spread and reception of institutions that have been hammered out elsewhere..."

(xiii): very much a Weberian, ideal-type-ist, comparative approach, rather than a search for real abstractions. but perhaps the book itself is evidence that the difference between these two need not be so large?

(xiv): explorer is to native as sociologist is to historian!? a bit odd, this.

(xiv-xvii): KEY, central theses--"...one may discern three main historical routes from the preindustrial to the modern world.
  1. "the first of these leads through what I think deserve to be called bourgeois revolutions... A key feature in such revolutions is the development of a group in society with an independent economic base, which attacks obstacles to a democratic version of capitalism that have been inherited from the past. Though a great deal of the impetus has come from trading and manufacturing classes in the cities, that is very far from the whole story. The allies this bourgeois impetus has found, the enemies it has encountered, vary sharply from case to case. The landed upper classes... were either an important part of this capitalist and democratic tide, as in England, or if they opposed it, they were swept aside in the convulsions of revolution or civil war. The same thing may be said about the peasants. Either the main thrust of their political efforts coincided with that toward capitalism and political democracy, or else it was negligible. And it was negligible either because capitalist advance destroyed peasant society or because this advance began in a new country, such as the United States, without a real peasantry."
  2. "...the second route has also been capitalist, but culminated during the twentieth century in fascism... I shall call this the capitalist and reactionary form. It amounts to a form of revolution from above. In these countries the bourgeois impulse was much weaker. If it took a revolutionary form at all, the revolution was defeated. Afterward sections of a relatively weak commercial and industrial class relied on dissident elemetns in the older and still dominant ruling classes.. to put through the political and economic changes required for a modern industrial society... Industrial development may proceed rapidly under such auspices. But the outcome, after a brief and unstable period of democracy, has been fascism."
  3. "The third route is of course communism, as exemplified in Russia, and in China. The great agrarian bureaucracies of these countries served to inhibit the commercial and later industrial impulses even more than in the preceding instances. The results were twofold. In the first place these urban classes were too weak to constitute even a junior partner in the form of modernization taken by Germany and Japan... And in the absence of more than the most feeble steps toward modernization a huge peasantry remained. This stratum, subject to new strains and stresses as the modern world encroached upon it, provided the main destructive revolutionary force that overthrew the old order..."
  4. "Finally, in India we may perceive still a fourth general pattern that accounts for the weak impulse toward modernization. In that country there has been neither a capitalist revolution from above or below, nor a peasant one leading to communism. Likewise the impulse toward modernization has been very weak. On the other hand, at least som eof the historical prerequisites of Western democracy did put in an appearance... [T]his case stands somewhat appart from any theoretical scheme that it seems possible to construct for the others..."
(xvii): KEY, IN SUM--"To sum up as concisely as possible, we seek to understand the role of the landed upper classes and the peasants in the bourgeois revolutions leading to capitalist democracy, the abortive bourgeois revolutions leading to fascism, and the peasant revolutions leading to communism. The ways in which the landed upper classes and the peasants reacted to the challenge of commercial agriculture were decisive factors in determining the political outcome."

(xvii): you have some elements of reaction in the progressive examples, and vice-versa--thus, we have empircally-based general categories that transcend particular cases. moreover, there is invariably an element of contingency in the argument.

PART ONE: REVOLUTIONARY ORIGINS OF CAPITALIST DEMCORACY

Chapter One, England and the Contributions of Violence to Gradualism (3-40)

I. Aristocratic Impulses behind the Transition to Capitalism in the Countryside (3-13)

(3): "The focus in this chapter will be on the particular and very significant part that the classes in the countryside played in the transformation to industrialism."

(4-5): from the 1300s, he's arguing, we see the growing importance of commerce in countryside and in towns--and thus, the "dismounting of feudalism and its replacement by England's relatively weak version of royal absolutism."

(5): increasing importance of the wool trade in the Late Middle Ages (1300-1500), oriented to markets in the Italy and the Low Countries

(5): and the Black Death in 1348-1349 and demographic collapse, which gave an impetus to peasant rebellion.

(5): this chapter focused on the upper classes; by the late 1300s and the 1400s, especially, feudalism was in decline--it had "become parasitic, deriving its strength from the maneuvers of powerful magnates and the countermoves of the monarch."

(5-6): The Wars of the Roses (1455-1485) marks this process, the weakening of the landed aristrocracy and the emergence of the Tudor dynasty.

(6): Henry VIII, the second of the Tudor Kings, breaks with the Catholic Church without
supporting the Protestant Reformation--confiscation of the onasteries, etc.

(6-7): important, in sum: (1) ROYAL PEACE, AND (2) WOOL, combining in a specific way--"Combined with the continuing stimulus of the wool trade, the Tudor peace generated a powerful stimulus to the growth of a commercial and even capitalist outlook in the countryside." [quoting Tawney--the Tudor victory had "made the command of money more important than the command of men... [This change]... marks the transition from the medieval conception of land as the basis of political functions... to the modern view of it as an income-yielding investment."--BUT is this sufficient? hypothetically it could have happened at any time, no? isn't it question-begging?]. "The key to the English situation is that commercial life in both town and countryside during the sixteenth and seventeenth centuries grew up mainly though not entirely in opposition to the crown."

(8-9): thus, economic individualism was not simply the preserve of Adam Smith and the bourgeoisie; enclosing landlords, too, "provided at least as important a breeding ground..."

(9): enclosures, key--"propelled by the prospect of profits to be made either in selling wool or by leasing their lands to those who did and thereby increasing their rents, the lords of the manors found a variety of legal and semilegal methods to deprive the peasants of their rights of cultivation in the open fields..."

(10): key--"...a change from the feudal seigneur who was at worst a lawless tyrant to an overlord who was closer to an acute man of business exploiting the material resources of the estate with an eye to profit and efficiency..." These habits existed, too, in the yeomen--the upper ranks of the peasantry, and the chief force behind small enclosures; analogy drawn to kulaks.

(13): important, comparative point--"Thus in England the chief carriers of what was eventually to be a modern and secular society were at this time fundamentally men of commerce in both the countryside and the towns. In sharp contrast with what happened in France, these men pushed forward mainly on their own instead of under the umbrella of paternalist royal patronage."

(14): the Crown, Charles I, had started to antagonize commercially-minded elements in the countryside and the town (unlike in France, power had always been delegated to the gentry in the countryside; so the Crown's meddling was impositional). this was, of course, setting the scene for the First Civil War.

II. Agrarian Aspects of the Civil War (14-19)

(14-16): summary of these trends: "in the light of this general background there would seem to be little reason to question the thesis that commercially minded elements among the landed upper classes, and to a lesser extent among the yeomen, were among the main forces opposing the King and royal attempts to preserve the old order, and therefore an important cause, though not the only one, that produced the Civil War... From the gentry as a class, then, came the main representatives of a decisive historical trend modifying the structure of English rural society... Thus under the impact of commerce and some industry, English society was breaking apart from the top downward in a way that allowed pockets of radical discontent produced by the same forces to burst temporarily in the limelight [this has interesting implications--more radical elements doing the dominant oppositional classes' handiwork; and for 1848, since it sheds light on potential cleavages in the alliance].. In this process, as the old order breaks up, sections of society that had been losing out due to long-run economic trends come to the surface and do much of the violent 'dirty work.' of destroying the ancien regime..."

(16): act of beheading the King, for example, was a popular demand rooted in the desires of 'urban journeymen and peasants' (in the Army); a preponderance of the poorer gentry amongst the regicides.

(17): modernizers and traditionalists, too, not always opposed--certainly, for example, united in their fears of the 'lower orders.' even amongst the gentry, of course--"One would scarcely expect men of substance to have an easy conscience about kicking over two of the main props, king and church, that supported the social order." [again, the ghosts of 1848]

(17): important, certainly--"the policy of the leaders of the rebellion was clear and straightforward. They opposed interference with the landlord's property rights on the part of the king and on the part of radicals from the lower orders" [abolition of the Star Chamber, 'the main royal weapon against enclosing landlords' -- the peasants, clearly, are being marginalized]

(18-19): important--"In economics the Civil War did not produce any masive transfer of landed property from one group or class to another..." but it was, certainly, a revolution--"its revolutionary consequences were deep and lasting in the area of law and social relationships. with the abolition of the Star Chamber, the peasants lost their chief protection against the advance of enclosures..."

(19): this is a critical point (leveled against the critics of those who label the Civil War a bourgeois revolution)--the fact that landed elites were still in command of the state apparatus after this, and even after 1832, does not mean this wasn't a bourgeois revolution. precisely because, as we have seen, of the increasing commercialization of countryside... "The aristocratic order survived, but in a new shape, for money more than birth was now its basis. And Parliament itself became the instrument of landed capitalists... "

(20): in sum--"while the original impulse toward capitalism may have come from the towns far back in the Middle Ages, it proceeded on the land as strongly as in the cities... both the capitalist principle are directly antithetical to... : divinely supported authority in politics, and production for use rather than for individual profit in economics. Without the triumph of these principles in the seventeenth century it is hard to imagine how English society could have modernized peacefully--to the extent that it actually was peaceful--during the eighteenth and nineteenth centuries..."

III. Enclosures and the Destruction of the Peasantry (20-28)

(20): enclosures after the Civil War as legal, and historically-significant form of violence (this was not the landed aristrocracy against independent peasants; but landed capitalists against peasantry). either way, moreover, "the enclosures were the final blow that destroyed the whole structure of English peasant society embodied in the traditional village."

(21-22): speaking, here, of a decline in the 'openness' of local government to the peasantry, after the Glorious Revolution [we must ask, then, about the general thesis of the book--increasing democratization? clearly this is presented as a blip, but we can't leave its significance under-interrogated...].

(22): the anti-democratic writ of Parliament, as property triumphed over the peasantry in matters of enclosure.

(22): key--"The outcome of the Civil War itself, in sharp contrast to that of the French Revolution, was to strengthen greatly the position of the landed upper classes."

(23): 1688 to the end of the Napoleonic Wars (ca. 1815) as the "golden age of the great landed estate" (some technological improvement, in fertilizer, new crops, crop rotation; but also the simple efficiency of economies of scale)

(24): the rural capitalist, he's noting, is fairly divided into two:
  1. the big landowner (who did no work himself, though looked at the figures--his contribution was legal and political, arranging the enclosures);
  2. and the large tenant farmer (whose contribution was economic, the real pioneers of agricultural development).
(25): enclosures gathered considerable force by 1760--surged forward during the Napoleonic Wars, only to die out after 1832.

(26): "the intrusion of commerce into a peasant community generally sets in motion a tendency toward the concentration of land in fewer hands..."

(26-28): key, enclosures--graphic, moving account of the disintegration and suffering of the peasant communities (some stayed on land to be rural laborers; others migrated to the cities in search of work)--"it seems quite clear that when the common fields disappeared and a new economic system began to win out in the countryside, the old peasant community finally gave way and disintegrated... the enclosures greatly strengthened the larger landlords and broke the back of the English peasantry, eliminating them as a factor from British political life."

(29): amen--"That the violence and coercion which produced these resluts took place over a long space of time... must not blind us to the fact that it was massive violence exercised by the upper classes against the lower." [this is critical, as it contains a larger point about modernization and its relationship to violence--reminds me of Chris Harman's comment on Stalin; all the violence of modernization condensed into a few, exceptionally brutal years]

IV. Aristocratic Rule for Triumphant Capitalism (29-39)

(29): when considering the 'peaceful transition' to parliamentary democracy in the 19th century, we would do well to remember the violence that scarred the 17th and 18th centuries.

(29): consequence one--"perhaps the most important legacy of a violent past was the strengthening of Parliament at the expense of the King" [bequeathed an institutional mechanism for settling conflicts of interest]

(30): "the strong commercial tone in the life of the landed upper classes... also meant that there was no very solid phalanx of aristrocratic opposition to the advance of industry itself... the most influential sector of the landed upper classes acted as a political advance guard for commercial and industrial capitalism."

(30): consequence two--"the other main consequence was the destruction of the peasantry. It meant that modernization could proceed in England without the huge reservoir of conservative and reacitonary forces that existed at certain points in Germany and Japan... And it also of couse meant that the possibility of peasant revolutions in the Russian and Chinese manner were taken off the historical agenda."

(31): the French Revolution induced a period of reaction, in England--only to be lifted with the Battle of Waterloo.

(32): what was key re: the rise of the commercial classes in the 19th century, in England, was that "the road had been smoothed for them... under the leadership of the landed classes." [contrast with Prussia, where the State had to establish a uniform legal system, currency, etc.] "... The absence of a strong monarchy resting on an army and a bureaucracy, as in Prussia, made easier the development of parliamentary democracy... "

(32): important--"In the meantime the landed gentry and those above it in the social scale retained a firm hold on the levers of political power... [With reform bill of 1832, and the striking down of Corn Laws in 1846, he writes] The landed upper classes suffered no disaster, but they learned the limits of their power."

(34): key--comparatively mild treatment of the Chartist movement (1838-1848), down to three factors [in Germany, on the other hand, the bourgeoisie leaned on the aristocracy and the State, to protect them against popular discontent]
  1. strong current of opinion in favor of doing something to alleviate mass distress--devotion to idea of libery [possibly a question-begging explanation, but ok]
  2. lack of a strong repressive apparatus
  3. a favorable economic turn and poor-friendly legislation took the steam out of the movement
(35): "In England the landed interests to some extent engaged in a popularity contest with the bourgeoisie for mass support..."

(35): "Thus the theme of diehard opposition to the march of democracy is a rare and minor current among the landed aristocracy of England in the nineteenth century. One cannot find in English history the counterpart to... German conservatives ['take ten men and shoot the Reichstag!']"

(35): very KEY; reason for lack of conservativsm/reaction--"One of the reasons why such a scene seems incongrous in England... is that, unlike the Junkers, the gentry and nobility of England had no great need to rely on political levers to prop up a tottering economic position..."

(36): "In the nineteenth century, as in earlier periods, the lines between wealthy nobility, gentry, and the upper reaches of business and the professions were blurred and wavering."

(37): key-- "In nineteenth century Prussia the members of the bourgeoisie who became connected with the aristocracy generally absorbed the latter's habits and outlook. Rather the opposite relationship held in England." [this is his answer--and see below--to the puzzle that their seemed to be more osmosis between the two classes in Prussia, than in England]

(37): important, larger point--"Men who hold power do not necessarily exercise it simply in the interests of the class from which they arise, especially in changing situations."

(38): key, divergent paths of England and Germany in late-19th Century--an agricultural depression in the aftermath of the Civil War (the availability of American grain, by steamship), "seriously commenced to erode the economic base of the landed upper strata." Roughly the same thing happened in Germany. BUT: there, Junkers used the State to preserve their position, forming a "united agricultural front" with peasant proprietors and even industrial interests around a program of imperialism and reaction; in England, on the other hand, "...agriculture was allowed to commit decorous suicide... The economic base had shifted to industry and trade."

(39): in sum--"...what factors stand out as responsible for England's progress toward demcoracy? Those inherited from a violent past have already been mentioned: (1) a relatively strong and independent Parliament; (2) a commercial and industrial interest with its own economic base; (3) no serious peasant problem." Other factors are specific to the 19th century... the landed upper classes absorbed new elements into their ranks... it was possible because the economic position of the governing classes eroded slowly... [furthermore], there is no reason to deny the historical significance of moderate and intelligent statesmen."

Chapter Two, Evolution and Revolution in France (40-110)

1. Contrasts with England and their Origins (40-45)

(40): key, enormous differences with England, he's noting at the outset--
  1. whereas in England you had an independent landed gentry, in France they were appendages of the Crown;
  2. whereas in England they adopt commercial agriculture, in France they live off what they can extract from the peasantry;
  3. whereas in England they respond to the rise of the manufacturing classes by becoming capitalists themselves, in France they are destroyed by the Revolution.
  4. whereas in England the peasant problem disappeared, in France it persisted and was consolidated gradually both before and after the Revolution.
(40): Thus, why was there similarity? This is the puzzle of the chapter. "Since without the Revolution it is most probably that there would have been no similarities," this is his focus.

(41): "the French nobility lived very largely from dues collected in kind or in cash from their peasants." [features emerge by the late 1300s and during the 1400s]

(41): they were located in law, and dependent on the peasantry--these two facts "were to distinguish the French nobility from the English gentry for the remainder of its history."

(41-42): "at quite an early date the peasantry had managed to escape from personal servitude...by the time of the Revolution," de facto property rights. [this is not explained, at all]

(42): in fact, precisely because they lacked an independent economic base (a la the gentry in England), the feudals also slowly lost out to the Crown (and the growing Royal Bureaucracy). this was encapsulated in the "long reign of Louis XIV (1643-1715).

(42-43): even if this fact let urban wealth intrude into rural areas, the basic form of wealth accumulation in the countryside remained the collection of wealth (not production for market)

(43): key--"France did not undergo an extensive enclosure movement. By and large, the large proprietor was interested in preserving peasant tenures because they provided the basis of his existence. Only in the latter part of the 1700s did the situation begin to change."

(43-44): important--in the course of the 1500s and afterward, "the king consolidated and extended his authority..." at the expense of the nobility [he deprived them of judicial functions, raised soldiers and taxes on their lands, intervened in their affairs, and forced them to submit to his Parlements]. This, again, culminated in Louis XIV. King had to ensure loyalty of nobility, though, which he did through the Church and War.

2. The Noble Response to Commercial Agriculture (45-56)

(45): until the opening decade of the 1700s, there certainly was a weak impluse toward commercial agriculture in France [limited markets, mostly in wheat--problem was to feed those who didn't grow, which was a small problem].

(49-50): crux of the matter, it seems: [after a lengthy discussion of the wine trade,] "The monarchy wanted a prosperious nobility as a decorative adjunct to the crown... But the crown did not want the nobility to establish an independent economic base that could enable it to challenge royal power." [I'm worried we're verging on a tautology here--no independent economic base is supposed to explain strength of monarchy; so how can strength of monarchy also explain no independent economic base?]

(50): "...successful commercial farming for the high aristocrat involved a temporary escape from French society." [mention of Haiti]

(51): "All these facts indicate that the cultural and legal barriers were becoming much less important during the 18th century." [in other words, this is not where we want to look if we want to understand the weakness of commercial agriculture]

(52): yes, a critique of Weber that parallels the charges leveled by Ellen Meiskins Wood--"Those who follow Weber, especially those who speak in terms of some abstract drive for achievement, neglect the importance of the social and political context in which such changes manifest themselves. The problem is not merely whether French rural nobles tried to run their estates efficiently... The key question is whether not in so doing they altered the structure of rural society in a way similar to what took place in those parts of England where the enclosure movement was strongest. The answer to this question is simple and decisive. They did not. Those nobles who represented the leading edge of commercial advance in the French countryside tried to extract more from the peasants."

(53): discussing Toulouse, where despite production for market, there was no real technical innovation--"the nobles used the prevailing social and political framework to squeeze more grain out of the peasants and sell it." [again, worried about a tautology--isn't the lack of an economic base meant to explain that social and political framework?]

(53-54): explaining the land tenure situation, as it differs from England; but I must say, I don't fully follow...

(55): in sum, though: "In contrast to England, commercial influences as they penetrated into the French countryside did not undermine and destroy the feudal framework. If anything they infused new life into old arrangements, though in a way that ultimately had disastrous consequences for the nobility... Essentially what the landed proprietor possessed were certain property rights, whose essence were claims, enforceable through the repressive apparatus of the state, to a specific share of the economic surplus..." [if run like this, the tautology fades, I think--but do need to think through this, some more]

(56): "In England the fusion between countryside and town was in the main directed against the crown... In France the fusion took place through the crown with very different political and social consequences."

3. Class Relationships under Royal Absolutism (56-62)

(56-57): in the 1600s, the French bourgeoisie was not the spearhead of modernization; instead, "it was heavily dependent on royal favor, subject to royal regulation..." [like Tokugawa Japan or even Akbar's India]

(57): thus, under Louis XIV, "the impulse toward establishing the bases of a modern society... came much more from the royal bureaucracy than from the bourgeoisie. That, however, was scarcely the deliberate intention of the crown. At the same time its real function... was to maintain order, supervise the economy..."

(57-58): like other agrarian bureaucracies, it was confronted with a limited source of surplus, like elsewhere (partial solution was to sell positions in the bureaucracy)

(58): regardless--"French society of the 1600s and 1700s presents us with an illuminating mixture of competing trades that scholars sometimes regard as characteristically Western and characteristically Oriental: feudalism, bourgeoisie, and bureaucracy." [an admirable universalism]

(59): "...the sale of offices was at the root of the king's independence of the aristocracy, of any effective control by a parliament. It was the key prop of royal absolutism. At the same time the practice undermined the king's independence [since it made office a piece of property]"

(60): key--had the effect of steeling the bourgeoisie to stand with the State against feudal elements; but also of converting bourgeois elements into feudals. "...The system diverted energy and resources from commerce and industry."

(62-63): why didn't such a pervasive monarchy, then, pursue the path of a Germany or Japan--a "conservative path to modernization"? he isn't providing the answer now, only suggesting that "agrarian problems played a very important part in bringing about this result."

4. The Aristocratic Offensive and the Collapse of Absolutism (62-70)

(63): the last half of the 1700s saw "a penetration of commercial and capitalist practices into agriculture." [a brief enclosure movement]

(64): crucial: the method of surplus-extraction (and the political apparatus that corresponded), in France, was simply different than in England [in France, feudal; in England, commercial]

(64): interesting that, right here at one of his most concretely Marxist moments, he is pushing back against caricatured Marx--"...any notion that the economic substructure somehow automatically determines the political superstructure, can lead one astray. The political mechanism was decisive..." [as was, then, the effort to smash it]

(64): key--enclosure movement in France more of a government move than in England, where it was indigenously actualized by gentry. "Hence capitalism was seeping into the French countryside... in the form of feudalism through the seignoral reaction, in the form of an attack on feudalism, and... through the officially sponsored enclosure movement. More rapid penetration had to await the measures of the Revolution..." [critical--all of this, though [increased feudal dues, enclosures], had the critical effect of turning the peasantry against the established order--this encouraged the unity of the Third Estate]

(65): this negative response, of course, is why "the most prosperous peasantry in Europe could become a major force for revolution."

(66-67): it was not that the nobility was closed (he's providing examples of bourgeoisie incorporation), that explains the Revolution.

(67): important--it is the case that in England this fusion took place against the king. In France, it was the monarchy that turned commoners into landed aristrocrats.

(67-68): concomitant to all this, there was expansive growth in commerce, and trade [embodied in proposals made by Turgot, which had the effect of antagonizing the sans-culottes by liberalizing grain market]

(69): KEY--"As it came to France, capitalism often wore a feudal mask... The demand for property rights within the prevailing system was very strong, as the sale of offices and the seigneurial reaction demonstrates. Capitalism... permeated the ancien regime.. Partly for this reason the radical thrust behind the Revolution, based on the sans-culottes and sections of the peasantry, was explicitly and strongly anticapitalist."

5. The Peasants' Relationship to Radicalism during the Revolution (70-92)

(70): "only when popular grievances could coalesce even briefly with those of more powerful groups would they help to bring the monarchy crashing down..."

(70-71): important--in the absence of commercial revolution (or manorial reaction), "many French peasants had become in effect small property owners." [though, he notes that, in some places families without land may have been anywhere from 20 to 70% of the rural population."]

(71): two major demands, amongst poorer peasantry
  1. land
  2. preservation of specific village customs that served their interests
(72): important--"the political consequence was a split within the peasantry and a very marked disintegration of the peasant community... the situation of the rural poor drove many toward violent egalitarian theories. for them, modernization meant mainly that the prosperous peasants were blocking them from dividing up the land... [Thus] there were at least two peasant revolutions, that of the peasant aristocracy and that of the larger and more diffuse majority..."

(73): for the upper ranks of the peasantry, on the other hand, discontent was a product of a fact of "possessing the land without really owning it... Mainly wanted to eliminate the arbitrary aspects of the feudal system that had been increasing in the last years..."

(74-75): the impulses giving rise to the Revolution in this context: decreasing duties on British manufactures, natural disasters, reactionary pressure of stratum of nobility [others were quite willing to compromise], etc.

(75): summer of 1789, then, sees a series of peasant uprisings

(75-76): important, no bourgeoisie on the barricades--"full-scale violence [actually] frightened the bourgeoisie, who retreated into the arms of the nobility"

(76): with the storming of the Bastille, major traits of the radical elements in the French Revolution
  1. the fear of counterrevolutionary plots
  2. defensive uprising amongst the masses, mainly artisans and journeymen
  3. will to punish and destroy enemies
(77): KEY, feudalism dismantled, thanks to the peasantry and in three phases--the Revolution, itself, of course, can be thought of as three journees--three popular upheavals. "The main impulse behind each surge came from the Parisian sans-culottes. Each surge succeeded as longa s it could draw on active support from the countryside. When this support dried up,... the impulse behind the radical revolution petered out, and its urban remnants were easily repressed. It is fair, therefore, to hold that the peasantry was the arbiter of the Revolution, though not its chief propelling force... and largely responsible for what in retrospect seems the most important and lasting achievement of the Revolution, the dismantling of feudalism."
  1. storming of the Bastille on July 14, 1789
  2. storming of the Tuileries on August 10, 1792, which led to the execution of Louis XIV
  3. uprising on May 31, 1793, which led to the reign of terror and Robespierre.
(78): the death certificate of the ancien regime delivered in August 1789 -- but, of course, up to more radical phases to make this complete (and, as he notes citing de Tocqueville, here it was simply continuing the work of the royal absolutism).

(80): 25th of August 1792, feudal dues disappeared; 28th of August, villagers receive back commond lands

(81-83): important, peasant radicalism, in the form of 'loi agrarire': equal distribution of lands, making the Commune uncomfortable, it seems (splitting the ranks) [March 1793 the death penalty decreed for preaching it!] -- all this, he's saying, a response to the intrusion of capitalism into the countryside.

(84): yes, the spectre of 1848, again--"...the bourgeois revolution needed the help of the radical revolution, as we have seen with the events of July 14 and August 4..." [of course!] This, even though "the two were fundamentally incompatible due to incompatible attitudes toward property..."

(86): critical, effects and context of the third uprising--"...both the rural and the urban radicals shared a common hostility at this point to the rich who were profiting from the Revolution and to the unfettered workings of the market... To sum up the meaning of the uprising..., the bourgeois revolution had been pushed sharply to the left under radical pressure and forced to shed the moderates (arrest of 32 Girondins), while the urban radicals and the peasants were still marching together..." This was the 'heroic' and 'desperate' time of the Revolution, led by the Committee of Public Safety (my understanding--you had the Constituent Assembly until 1791; the Legislative Assembly until the second uprising; and the Commune, until now)

(88): key, running into trouble--for the wealthier peasants -- as producers -- the system of price controls implemented in the third phase was oppressive, and they evaded it (even though the high, unregulated price of wheat had enabled the uprising, in the first place). Thus, the radical phase of the Revolution was "in many places an outright attack on the substantial peasants... worst of all, townsmen... were its main agents in the countryside..."

(89): in sum--"The obvious and decisive fact of the radical phase is this: the urban sans-culottes had been able to push the Jacobin leaders into policies that saved the Revolution but at the cost of turning the peasants against it... To the extent that these conditions prevailed elsewhere in the countryside [high price of bread relative to wages], they alienated radical support from the Revolution and dried up the sources of rural radicalism"

(90): important--Ventose decrees, Robespierre and Saint-Just realizing that they needed to make concessions to the peasantry. Alas, "it would have been very difficult to meet the expressed desires of the poorer peasants without putting a spike into the wheels of the bourgeois and capitalist revolution... Thus during the radical phase the needs and aspirations of the urban sans-culottes finally came into direct and open conflict with all sections of the countryside..."

(91): key--against the Marxist argument that the bourgeois revolution could not follow the radical revolution this far, Moore attributes the failure of the radical revolution to the tension that his policies brought them into conflict with the countryside--and in a way that aggravated the misery of the city-dweller.

(92): "No matter how radical the city was, it could do nothing without the help of the peasants. The radical revolution was over." [I need to sharpen my understanding of what exactly led to this fall-out; what I have culled from this chapter seems a bit confused...]

6. Peasants against the Revolution: The Vendee (92-101)

(92): from 1793 to 1796--the "only major peasant uprising against what is loosely called the Left" (calling for restoration of King, what have you)

(92): key, there is actually no paradox here: "the main thrust of the counterrevolution was anticapitalist against the merchants and manufacturers in nearby towns and those scattered through the heart of the Vendee itself... Resembles the great peasant upheavals that were the main popular force breaking apart the old regimes of Russia and China before the communist victories..."

(93): importantly--"The counterrevolutionary area was one where commercial agriculture had not penetrated..." But this, he is suggesting, is not an answer. Instead, something more specific is needed. His best guess is not the lightness of burden, nor the myth that these peasants lived amongst the nobility, but that "the leading peasants in the areas that were to become counterrevolutionary already had some of the major benefits of private property (because these were areas where enclosures had taken place)." Led to a "stubborn individualism--"in many instances a man would not see his neighbors for long stretches of time. "...What might be expected to happen if the Revolution failed to abolish rents and took more taxes out of the peasants than had been the case under the old order? What if the Revolution promoted a substantial bourgeois land grab? Finally, what if the Revolution came as a wholesale attack on peasant society? These are things that did happen."

(98): key, then--"What mattered most in the specific conditions of the Vendee was the attack on the clergy because it was part of a general offensive: economic, political, and social at once." So things like the reorganization of local government, the seizure of church properties, etc. (which had led to a very large bourgeois land grab).

7. Social Consequences of Revolutionary Terror (101-108)

(101): writing, now, against the impulse to regard the Terror "as a daemonic outburst of mob violence..." Certainly, there was much that was indiscriminate (the 1792 September Massacres, for example).

(103-104): roughly 30,000 to 40,000 victims of revolutionary repression--"Yet in assessing it, one has to keep in mind the repressive aspects of the social order to which it was a response. The prevailing order of society always grinds out its tragic toll of unnecessary death year after year... [T]o dwell on the horrors of revolutionary violence while forgetting that of normal time is merely partisan hypocrisy." [and this is just as true in China, India, etc.]

(104): reminder that the radical arm of the revolution was a negative, defensive reaction to the bourgeois revolution ("the steady spread of capitalist figures..." / the free market in grain, etc.).

(105): KEY POINT--you could not have had a peaceful transition, had the conservatives smothered the Revolution successfully, as you 'did' in England after the civil war. "The underlying social structure of France was fundamentally different and hence ruled out the kind of peaceful transition... that England experienced in the 1700s and 1800s."

(105): key--addressing himself to the question of whether it was, or was not, a bourgeois revolution: "To deny that the predominant thrust and chief consequences of the Revolution were bourgeois and capitalist is to engage in a trivial quibble... [Certainly, he agrees that the bourgeoisie were not protagonists, themselves, BUT] That the ultimate outcome of all the forces at work was a victory for an economic system of private property and a political system based upon equality before the law... are truths undeniable even if they are familiar." [see also pg. 109]

(105): Bourbon Restoration recovered half of the property lost during the Revolution!

(106): key, and in sum--"...the destruction of the political power of the landed aristocracy constitutes the most significant process at work in the course of French modernization. Ultimately it is largely... traceable to the response of the French nobility to the problems of agriculture in an increasingly commercial society. Royal absolutism was able to tame and control an aristocracy that had difficulty in establishing an independent economic base." [this eliminated, he's adding, the threat of right-wing authoritarianism]

(107): key--it also created "small-peasant property," with ambiguous consequences--"the experience of requisitioning, the attempt to place ceilings on the prices of grain, and the encouragement given to small holders and agricultural workers during the radical phase... turned the upper stratum of the peasants decisively against the Republic." [there is more, certainly, that needs to be said about the divisions in the peasantry; why are we so concerned, after all, with the upper peasantry, given their limited numbers?]

(107-108): some provisional reflections on revolutionary and reactionary tendencies of peasantry, but nothing conclusive beyond these few generalizations about the 19th and 20th centuries in France
  1. influential peasants are not concerned about democracy; they want guarantees of property and social position
  2. continued advance of capitalism threatens small peasant property
8. Recapitulation (108-110) [excellent summary, consult if necessary]

(108): again, a summary--Revolution was imperative, precisely because the ancien regime stood in the way of democratization; this was not the case in England, where you had a landed elite that were quite bourgeois ("part of democracy's entering wedge")

(110): in tracing the end of the French revolution, he speaks about how the Jacobin need to get food to urban areas and revolutionary armies broke the alliance with the richer peasants. but i am confused, perhaps because of poor comprehension: why did the poor peasants leave this alliance? or, differently put, why was the counterrevolution successful--did it have the backing of poor peasants?

Chapter Three, The American Civil War: The Last Capitalist Revolution (111-158)

1. Plantation and Factory: An Inevitable Conflict? (111-114)

(111): In America, of course, no well-entrenched agrarian society, of either feudal or bureaucratic forms. (1) Rather, "commercial agriculture" was important from the very beginning. (2) No political struggles, then, between a monarch and a landed aristocracy. (3) No massive class of peasants, comparable to Europe or Asia.

(112): key, a revolution not motivated by desire to cast off economic fetters--"The conclusion... amounts to the statement that the American Civil War was the last revolutionary offensive on the part of what one may legitimately call urban or bourgois capitalist democracy. Plantation slavery in the South... was not an economic fetter upon industrial capitalism. If anything, the reverse may have been true... But slavery was an obstacle to a political and social democracy." [but hang on, there is a point about technical inefficiency of slavery, owing to the low cost of labor, and whatever else--but let's watch this proceed]

(112): rightly passing over the American Revolution, which "did not result in any fundamental changes in the structure of society."

(114): to the question of whether there was some inherent contradiction between the industrial capitalism of the North and the plantation economy of the South, "we can answer.. with a provisional negative: there is no abstract general reason... Special historical circumstances... had to be present in order to prevent agreement between an agrarian society based on unfree labor and a rising industrial capitalism." [here he is making a comparison to Germany, where advanced industry got along well with highly repressive forms of rural labor (even if the Junker was not a slave-owner)]

(115): BUT--"if the conflict between the North and South had been compromised, the compromise would have been at the expense of subsequent democratic development in the United States..."

2. Three Forms of American Capitalist Growth (115-131)

(115): By 1860, there were three different forms of society in the US:
  1. cotton-growing South;
  2. the West, a land of free-farmers;
  3. and the rapidly industrializing Northeast.
(116): "Between 1815 and 1860 the cotton trade exercised a decisive influence upon the rate of growth in the American economy. Up until about 1830 it was the most important cause of the growth of manufacturing... By 1849, 64% of the cotton crop went abroad, mainly to England. From 1840 to the time of the Civil War, Great Britain drew from the Southern states 80% of all her cotton..."

(116): "In Southern society, the plantation and slave owners were a very small minority. By 1850, there may have been less than 350,000 in a white population of six million... only a small minority owned most of the slaves... [7% owned 75%!]"

(117): "...the smaller farmers in the South by and large accepted the political authority of the big planters..."

(117-118): "Slavery was almost certainly not on the point of dying out for internal reasons... If slavery were to disappear from American society, armed force would be necessary..."

(118): Emancipation Proclamation (1863) only emancipated slaves in areas where the North had no jurisdiction!

(118): "These considerations point strongly toward the conclusion that slavery was economically profitable."

(119): Slavery shifting to the "low South", and West (not in the tobacco growing areas, after 1850). This shift was of course threatening the balance of slave states and free states (Missouri coupled with Maine)

(121): key--but even if running a plantation was a capitalist task, the Southern plantocracy was not bourgeois--not opposed to hereditary privilege, and not based in town life. "Here was a real difference and a real issue."

(123): key-- "It is almost impossible to speak of purely economic factors as the main causes behind the war, just as it is impossible to speak of the war as mainly a consequence of moral differences over slavery. The moral issues arose from economic difference. Slavery was the moral issue... Without the direct conflict of ideals..., the events leading up to the war... are totally incomprehensible" [but what do we make of the hollowness of the Emanicpation proclamation? the notion that Lincoln was willing to save the union, alone?]

(124): after the 1830s, the North became a manufacturing center--the American Economy as a whole was less depndent on a "single agricultural staple." Cotton ceased to dominate the Northeast.

(125): regardless, though, it certainly wasn't Northern business interests behind the war--they "were very far from bellicose advocates of a war of liberation or even war for the sake of the union."

(127): the conflict comes, then, over the supply of labor to Northern Capitalists--"Perhaps more than any other factor, these trends set the stage for armed conflict and aligned the combatants in such a way as to make possible a partial victory for human freedom."

(128-129): key--the West is an important part of this story--"From the 1830s onward, there was a gradual redirection of Western produce toward the Eastern seaboard" [made possible by transportation revolution]. As a result, he's arguing, "The outlook of the early individualist and small-scale capitalist, characteristic of the Northeast, spread to the dominant upper stratum of the Western farmers." This, he's suggesting, produced a fear of competition from slavery.Similarly, Southern planters see this new strata as a threat.

(130): this was the underpinning of the bargain that brought Lincoln to office, in 1860--"business was to support the farmers' demand for land, popular also in industrial working-class circles, in return for support for a higher tariff."

(131): interesting--"Here energies that in Europe would have gone into building trade unions... went into schemes providing a free farm for every workman whether he wanted it or not. The actual effect of the Westward trek... was to strengthen the forces of early competitive and individualist capitalism by spreading the interest in property." [this was more a myth than reality--speculators had their hands on it, and maybe some of the more wealthy, enterprising workers]

(131): "The link between Northern industry and the free farmers ruled out for the time being the classic reactionary solution to the problems of growing industrialism..." It also brought the country towards civil war.

3. Toward an Explanation of the Causes of the War (132-140)

(132-133): no obvious, 'mortal' conflict in economic terms, between the two systems

(134): important--"In addition to the conflict between free farmers in the West and the plantation system, about the strongest case one can make in strictly economic terms is that for the South secession was not an altogether unreasonable proposal mainly because the South did not need much that the North really had to offer."

(134): other than economic answers, historians have given three explanations
  1. a moral conflict over slavery--but this elides the fact that North never took a radical position on slavery
  2. the blunering of politicians--but this is unhhelpful
  3. push question back to why political machinery for consensus broke down
(136-137): executive (re)summary of the argument--"...The fundamental issue became more and more whether the machinery of the federal government should be used to support one society or the other..."

(140): alternative way of framing it: causes for unity were being undermined--"it is difficult to find a case in history where two different regions have developed economic systems based on diametrically opposite principles and yet remained under a central government that retained real authority in both areas... Cohesive forces appear to have been weak..."

(140-141): there was also, he's arguing, neither (1) a strong working-class in the North, nor (2) threat of foreign power which could bind North and South together under a common banner (Germany 1871, Japan 1868 are said to have been examples of this)

(141): in sum--"...[T]he ultimate causes of the war are to be found in the growth of different economic systems... Two further factors made compromise extremely difficult. The future of the West appeared uncertain in such a way as to make the distribution of power at the center uncertain... Secondly... the main forces of cohesion in American society... were still very weak."

4. The Revolutionary Impulse and its Failure (141-148)

(141): Unlike the French Revolution and, partly, unlike England, there was no real "radical upsurge" during the Civil War [here we need 'Black Reconstruction' and the others--the 'new' histories of the Civil War, even if the kind of argument Moore is making is still defensible (no artisans, sans-culottes, though?)]

(142): slave outbreaks had no political consequences? To the DuBois!

(141-145): Thaddeus Stevens and Radical Republicans provided the revolutionary impulse that did exist, intending to wage 'progressive capitalism's' war on the 'baron and serf' slavery (combination of workers, industrialists, and some railroad interests at its height, in 1865-1868). The South were to be treated as a 'conquered people', and their society reconstructed (land reform, land confiscation, 'forty acres and a mule').

(146-147): The 1867 reconstruction acts floundered, though, because "influential Northern sentiment was in no mood to tolerate an outright attack on property... The failure of land reform was a decisive defeat and removed the heart of the Radical program."

(147): In the absence of this radical reconstruction, there was a move towards a new form of labor--not wage labor (which didn't work, when attempted first), but sharecropping.

(148): this didn't enrich the planters, but it did have the effect of making the South more of a one-crop economy than before (as everyone was pressed to grow cash-crop)

(148): key--of course, 1876 marks the return to normalcy--as elite moderates make an alliance across battle lines (Hayes-Tilden), and occupational regime is finally dismantled. "...the classic conservative coalition was possible. So came Thermidor to liquidate the 'Second American Revolution'"

5. The Meaning of the War (149-155)

(149-152): War gave a massive boost to industrial capitalism through permitting policies that would never have been tolerated, without it (high tariffs, end of slavery, subsidies, national banking and currency system). At the same time, this was not why the war happened, again--industrial capitalism did not necessarily have to regard plantation slavery as an obstacle; slavery was an obstacle to the establishment of democracy, however (and democracy is not a prerequisite of industrial capitalism--Germany, Japan).

(152): "Slavery was a threat and an obstacle to a society that was indeed the heir of the Puritan, American, and French Revolutions."

(153): "Striking down slavery was a decisive step, an act at least as important as the striking down of absolute monarchy in the English Civil War and the French REvolution..."

PART THREE: THEORETICAL IMPLICATIONS AND PROJECTIONS

Chapter Seven, The Democratic Route to Modern Society (413-432)

(413): again, three routes to the modern world
  1. the route of the bourgeois revolution
  2. capitalist road without a revolutionary surge (German and Japanese examples)
  3. the communist road
(414): presentation of these as "successive historical stages," but it's unclear how and why, at this stage.

(415): Western feudalism predisposed societies toward the parliamentary path, because of certain institutions it contained--"immunity of certain groups from the ruler, conception of right of resistance to unjust authority." [come on, though, this is quite unconvincing--reading into the relationship of lord to vassal the modern concept of the contract?]

(416): Marx's concept of an oriental despotism that coordinates the irrigation system he finds unconvincing, though it can be a starting point.

(417): as regards the process of modernization, "one point is clear:" persistence of royal absolutism or a hulking bureaucracy is not favorable to democracy. At the same time, they were important to 'checking' the nobility.

(417): a decisive precondition, too, "has been the emergence of a rough balance between the crown and the nobility... The pluralist notion that an independent nobility is an essential ingredient in the growth of democracy has a firm basis in historical fact." [but what about France?]

(418): but the nobility does need a bourgeoisie--if it seeks its freedom outside of this alliance, democracy is not the result (Russia as an example of this)

(418): ok--strong agreement with the "Marxist thesis that a vigorous and independent class of town dwellers has been an indispensable element in the growth of parliamentary democracy."

(419): furthermore--"among the most decisive determinants influencing the course of subsequent political evolution are whether or not a landed aristocracy has turned to commercial agriculture, and if so, the form that this commercialization has taken."

(419): European feudalism had three main divisions of land. Japan showed resemblances to this arrangment; some similarities in India. China was not like this.
  1. the commons
  2. the land owned by feudal, worked by peasant
  3. peasants' own plots
(419-420): there were three main responses to the advance of commerce in the towns, and demands of absolutist rulers for more taxes.
  1. English landed aristocracy turned to commercial farming, moving peasants of the lands.
  2. The French landed elite left the peasants in possession--intensification of the old arrangement (I think). [this led to democracy only because of the Revolution, remember--it could equally have led to the German path]
  3. In E. Europe you had the manorial reaction--E. German Junkers reduced free peasants to serfdom, and a similar process was at work in Russia (though for political, and not economic reasons).
(420-421): here he is making explicit that the problem is really one of the "form of commercial agriculture," and not simply the fact (or non-fact) of commercialization.

(421-422): a 'cultural' explanation is quite unconvincing, he's arguing. agreed.

(422): important--"Where it has been possible for landlords to make use of the coercive apparatus of the state in order to sit back and collect rents, a phenomenon found widely in Asia and to some extent in prerevolutionary France and Russia, there is clearly no incentive to turn to less repressive adaptations."

(423): there are therefore at least three major variables:
  1. the relationship of the aristocracy to the monarchy
  2. the response of the aristocracy to commercialization
  3. the relationship of the landed upper classes with the bourgeoisie
(424): there is the classic rural-urban cleavage, and then there are class divisions within each--so there are a wide variety of permutations of alliances, with varying outcomes (in Tudor and Stuart England, a vigorous alliance)

(424): and here's an odd, contingent point, that throws the comparisons into doubt, I feel -- one that opens into the question of the 'permanent revolution', though: "the English bourgeoisie from the 17th through much of the 19th century had a maximum material stake in human freedom because it was the first bourgeoisie and hand not yet brought its foreign and domestic rivals to their full powers."

(426): again, England and the US (for different reasons) were the only countries to escape the peasant question (he attributes the "instability of French democracy in the 20th century to this fact").

(426): the role of violence--the English Civil War, the French Revolution, and the American Civil War

(427): provided the distinctions between the cases remain clear, "it is necessary to group revolutions by the broad institutional results to which they contribute."

(428): KEY, Barrington Moore against the classic concept of the bourgeois-democratic revolution--"..this meaning of the bourgeois revolution is such a simplification as to be a caricature of what took place. To see that it is a caricature we need only recall
  1. the importance of capitalism in the English countryside, which enabled the landed elite to control the political machinery
  2. the weakness of any purely bourgeois impulse in the French case, and the importance, therefore, of radical elements; and the continuation of the peasant economy into present-day
  3. the fact that plantation slavery was an obstacle to democracy, certainly, but not so much to capitalism.
(430): "in a word, the landed upper classes either helped to make the bourgeois reovlution or were destroyed by it."

(430): once more, an executive summary of FIVE conditions (looking at these, through India):
  1. first condition is to develop a balance, in order to avoid too strong a crown or too independent a landed aristocracy.
  2. a turn toward an appropriate form of commercial agriculture either on the part of the landed aristocracy or the peasantry.
  3. weakening of the landed aristocracy, if not commercial
  4. prevention of an aristocratic-bourgeois coalition against peasants and workers (typical when the bourgeoisie is weak, and the basis for authoritarianism)
  5. a revolutionary break with the past
Chapter Eight, Revolution from Above and Fascism (433-452)

(432): in Germany and Japan, you have capitalism in agriculture and industry, but no popular upheaval

(434-435): critical distinction, labor-repressive labor system vs. market labor system--the crux of his distinction between the English example (and the West of the US) and the Japanese, German, Russian, and even French cases is the form of surplus extraction. in the latter case, a reliance on a 'labor-repressive' system (rather than the labor market) to ensure an adequate labor force and adequate surplus ties the landed aristocracy to the State apparatus. [this is precisely where Skocpol pushes back--to her, the distinction between the two on the basis of their political implications is not admissable; it is rather another way of assessing the claim about the strength of the central bureaucracy]

(436): this seems deeply problematic--from the subordination to the House of Hohenzollern in the 1600's and 1700s, he's reading ideas of subordination to a central institution that he links to fascism! too ambitious, and he immediately acknowledges this. so where does it leave the claim?

(437-438): interesting, citing Marx and Engels on the German 1848--a bourgeoisie which was to weak to rule, and for the right to make money threw in its lot with the landed aristocracy and the royal bureaucracy (this will not, though, bring fascism in and of itself, just a conservative modernization from above--that only happens under the inability of these democracies to cope and to bring about fundamental structural changes). If this coalition is wanting, he adds, you move towards Russia and China.

(438): and what he's noting about fascism, let us remember, is the significant role of the landed elite (made possible by the failure of peasants to band together with urban strata)

(438-439): discussing the rationalization of the new order in Germany and Japan in the 1800s, which had already been done, in England and France, under royal absolutism.

(440): the State, obviously, was critical for incipient industrialization, and the taming of the labor force (but this is perhaps where the contrast with the other examples becomes blurred, a la Skocpol's claim?)

(441): raising the question of the autonomy of the State structure, which is posed, though unclearly, here--it must be able to "free itself from the influence of both extreme reactionary and popular or radical pressures in the society, something that can happen rather more easily than simplified versions of Marxism would allow us to believe."

(442): ultimately, though, these regimes are in a bind, because modernization will require changes in social structure, which they want to stabilize. the answer to this, he's arguing, is militarism.

(443): drawing parallels between McCarthyism and the situation in England, during and after the Napoleonic Wars.

(444): this is the real question--why did England, in its reactionary phase during the Napoleonic Wars, not launch itself onto the reactionary path of a Germany or Japan--the answer, critically, was the relative weakness of the repressive apparatus, in England. [one thinks Skocpol will pick up, right here; whereas for Moore this pushes the question back]

(445): he's playing with the 'fascist' possibility in the Russian case, but for me this is revealing how undefined the term itself has been, till this point.

(446): again, this needs lengthy interrogation--"...the Russian peasants were revolutionary and eventually the major force in exploding the old regime."

(446): Fascism and the Subcontinent

(447-8): Fascism, a provision definition--"Fascism is inconceivable without... the entrance of the masses onto the historical stage. Fascism was an attempt to make reaction and conservatism popular and plebian... [It] stressed not only the inevitability of hierarchy, discipline, and obedience, but also positied that they were values in their own right... Another feature was the stress on violence... Plebian anticapitalism thus appears as the feature that most clearly distinguishes 20th century fascism from its predecessors, the nineteenth-century conservative and semiparliamentary regimes..."

(448-449): Fascism and the peasantry--most successful in appeal to the peasant whose holding was relatively small and unprofitable for the particular area in which it existed" [the 'little fellow'--seduced by the romantic image of an idealized peasant. though, it goes without saying, this was only ever an ideological justification, rather than a policy pursued by the Nazis]

(450-451): example of Japan, Italy--same pseudoradical and propeasant features, though in the latter especially, this was entirely opportunistic and ideological (policy catered to big agriculture, after Mussolini took power)

Chapter Nine, The Peasants and Revolution (453-583)

(453): "The process of modernization begins with peasant revolutions that fail. It culminates during the 20th century with peasant revolutions that succeed." [catchy -- but the first part is not clear]

(453): recovering the peasant as a subject of history, after he/she had been dismissed

(453-45 ): we want to understand what triggers peasant revolutions, and why. at this stage, certain theories can be dismissed:
  1. not simple deterioration of living, owing to impact of commerce and industry (think India--even if there have been upheavals)
  2. not a threat to peasant existence (i.e. enclosrues)
  3. where nobility lives amongst peasantry, less likely? (no, look at Russia)
  4. landless labor, large rural proletariat--but this doesn't explain the Russian Revolution, or even the Chinese Revolution, really
  5. religion? but it's always wielded by upper classes, interpreted differently by lower classes
(457): rather, he's arguing, we ought not to focus on the peasantry--we need to think about the upper classes (peasant rebellions typically take on the character of the social structure that animates them--restore the Good Tsar, dynastic change, etc.)

(459): the general hypothesis--it is society's with a central authority that are more vulnerable to rebellion; but where regulation is diffuse (i.e., the caste system), rebellion is less likely. [this is useful, because England and France seem to fit the model, too, though he doesn't acknowledge this in the same way...]

(459-460): if landed elites take up commercial agriculture, the more limited the rebellion

(462): discussing the context leading up to the Peasant War in Germany--enserfment was the response, there, to the rise of an export market in grain

(466): the aristocratic victory in the Peasant War, he's arguing, foreclosed the possibility of liberal democracy emerging (since, presumably, it consolidated a labor-repressive system of surplus extraction)

(467): English squire vs. German Junker
  1. the former turned to commercial agriculture, destroyed the social organization of the peasantry through enclosures--no peasant war
  2. the latter turned to serfdom in the face of the export trade--faced with peasant war
(467-468): a definition of modernization, from the perspective of the peasantry
  1. production for the market
  2. peace and order over a wide area; the creation of a strong central gov't
(468-75): argument is that three things seem important, re: peasant rebellion
  1. character of link to the overlords (landlord, priest)--when strong, chances of rebellion are feeble
  2. class divisions within the peasantry
  3. and degree of cohesiveness within the peasantry [he is also making a distinction between revolutionary and conservative forms of solidarity--the latter is, in the main, a modern phenomenon (this is the context of Marx's comment on the peasantry being a 'sack of potatoes'--it's the effect of commerce, industry and a capitalist legal framework, at least in part, which encourages competition between households in a village]
(470-471): subjective interpretation of exploitation as a cause is clearly tautological; so an objective explanation is demanded.

(477-478): "To sum up, the most important causes of peasant revolutions have been the absence of a commercial revolution in agriculture... and the concomitant survival of peasant social institutions into the modern era... Where the peasant community survives, as in Japan, it must remain closely linked to the dominant class in the countryside if revolution is to be avoided."

(479): "By themselves peasants have never been able to accomplish a revolution. On this point the Marxists are absolutely correct, wide of the mark though they are on other crucial aspects. The peasants have to have leaders from other classes..." [And anyway,] "peasant revolts have been repressed far more often than they have succeeded."

(481): noting that artisans and journeymen played a much more important role than Marxist theory might lead us to believe (this is Craig's intervention, as well, but there it is 1848 under scrutiny)

(481): deeply unsatisfactory account of the Russian Revolution











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(1) there is a preliminary problem in the opposition of democracy to communist dictatorship, but we will keep this on the shelf for when the concepts are elucidated further.

(2) the question-begging character of the argument, which almost inheres in its Weberian set-up. we can always, it seems, push the chain of causality back. our task is to think through when this is useful, and when it is not. (example of impulse given by wool trade, in 1300s/1400s England--can we not ask to have this pushed back, further? or is it simply a contingent factor?)

(3) obvious problem in Russia's case was that the peasantry did not, in the slightest, 'lead' the revolution. it will be interesting to see how he justifies the claim that they constituted the decisive revolutionary impulse; it is, certainly, more defensible, but still requires some reconciling to the larger narrative of Bolshevik triumph.

(4) cleavages in the revolution; poorer elements doing dirty work. one can see why this might culminate in 1848, and 'permanent revolution'

(5) increasing lack of democracy in the aftermath of the civil war, for the peasantry (pg. 21)

(6): Stalin as condensation of the typical violence, rather than atypical, which is inherent in the path of modernization.

(7) the critique of Moore that the German and Japanese examples are disingenuous, because their fascist 'phases' were temporary, raises the more fundamental question, i think, of what in each example we can treat as a true 'characteristic', and what we treat as 'temporary'. this is, of course, fundamental--the balance of contingency and theory is the challenge of any good history.