chapter 1
(2): economic inequality shapes politics is half of this book. other half is that politics profoundly shapes economics.
(3, 30, 60): claim #1--partisan politics have had a substantial impact on the economic fortunes of the middle class and the poor. real incomes of working poor families have grown six times as fast under democrats, real incomes of the middle class have grown twice as fast. a great deal of economic inequality is attributable to republican policies and priorities. (chapter 2) [there is an acknolwedgement on pg. 30 that some of these differences have been 'muted'--this begs explanation]
(3-4): claim #2--party image of white conservative working-class is largely mythical. this group has become more democratic. (chapter 3)
(4): claim #3--there are three reasons that republicans have fared so well over the past half-century, despite this (chapter 4)
- myopic focus of voters on recent economic performance
- high sensitivity to income-growth, which means that Republican's success in generating election-year income growth helps them
- responsiveness of voters to campaign spending rewards Republicans' advantage in campaign fund-raising
(5): claim #6--puzzle of the federal estate tax--which would have been repealed much earlier, had the political system been responsive to peoples' preferences. (chapter 7)
(5): claim #7--a 40% decline in the real value of the minimum wage since the late 1960s, despite consistent and strong public support for it. (chapter 8)
(5): claim #8--US Senators views are explained much better by their own partisan preferences than by the preferences of their constituents. where their constituents do matter, it is their affluent and middle-class constituents (the views of ordinary citizens have no discernible impact) (chapter 9).
(6): this book provides strong evidence that economic inequality has a profound impact on the political process.
(7): massive cumulative influence in divergent real income growth over the past half-century (real incomes of 20th percentile increased by less than 15,000 dollars; at the 9th percentile, 130,000 dollars) [see the charts on pages 8 and 9]
(9): much of the income growth that did appear was attributable to increases in working hours.
(13): the dramatic economic gains of the past 30 years have, in fact, been concentrated among the extremely rich
(14): [very deceptive use of polling data here -- 'many americans', when really the figure is quite low, and less than those who disagree that income differentials are necessary]
(15): 255 of the 400 richest people were 'self-made' -- interesting...
(17): citing Krugman to make clear that income stagnation is not explained by technological/sectoral change (how do you explain stagnation of mathemeticians and computer scientists; while CEO salaries jump by 100%?)
(19-20): tendency to totally ignore the 'political dimension' [again, this is important -- but it needs to be tempered. welfare cuts? glass-steagall?]
(22-23): interesting bit about media and inequality (how can you have ads for vacations to the caymans interspersed with analyses of inequality?)
(24-25): importance of government fiscal policy, taxation, central bank operations, debt management, banking, trade and tariffs, bailouts -- all this is agreed, no doubt. but needs, again, tempering [can we think about the 'autonomy' of the State, as it relates to this discussion? in other words, we might have a proxy for partisan effects in strength of labor movement, or even something else?]
chapter 2
(29): key--you need a response to this book's emphasis on political facts that can accomodate both
- the limits of those partisan effects (and here can enter talk of state 'autonomy')
- the underlying structural 'facts' (and here can enter some assessment of the narrowness of the regimes he's talking about -- really, the only Democrat that enters this analysis is Clinton. differences may be important (the EITC, for example), but the similarities are critical too (failed health reform, welfare reform, etc.)
(35): and a nice chart, also, to problematize the question of Democrats in the neoliberal age [under carter inequality jumps (volcker shock, anyone?); under clinton it's steady, though if there hadn't been a decline in the first year there would have been an increase (what explains this blip?). this is quite strong evidence for point 2, above. part of the problem is the 'blackboxing' of social and technological trends, which allows him to talk about the long-term trends without any notion of partisan complicity. we need to respond to this point, as well]
(41): income growth for the 95th percentile has been remarkably stable, across regimes and across time.
(44): example of richard nixon, certainly, is illustrative--he pursues a contractionary policy before pursuing an inflationary policy confronted with the election campaign. here, certainly, we can agree that partisan effects mattered.
(45): same with gerald ford -- launches the whip inflation now policy, before calling for a one-year tax rebate in 1976
(46): the portrayal of Carter is deceptive -- where is the Volcker shock? the shock to the economy is presented as exogenous.
(50): unemployment and GNP growth preferable under democrats; inflation roughly equal.
(53): the 'honeymoon' effect -- first-year of their terms is when presidents have their most significant effects
(58): important--noting that it has become more difficult for presidents to influence pre-tax income. this is an important point about the neoliberal age, which is left implicit in the rest of the argument, i think. but obviously the other point, about taxes and the partisan policies, is important and shouldn't be neglected.
chapter 3
(66): argument--three questions, answer to all is no.
- has the white working-class abandoned the democratic party?
- has the white working class become more conservative?
- do moral values trump economics as a basis of working-class?
(72-74): to the first question, no--it has not, the opposite trend is observed when you split the data up the way Bartels has. Republicans, in fact, win by 18 percentage points amongst high-income whites.
(77-78): what we have seen has everything to do with an erosion of Democratic support in the South, where the party's stance on civil rights and Jim Crow cost it the white vote. this is quite stark, actually.
(78-83): to the second question, no--hese are his attempt to assess views on gov't spending, etc., and he sees little evidence on the core issues [would have been preferable to use a cumulative measure, here]
(84, 86, 89): to the third question, no--combined weight attached to the economic issues exceeds the importance given to cultural issues by voters. he does find that american politics is increasingly about cultural issues, but still primarily about economic issues. evidence that higher-income voters attach more importance to cultural issues, than lower-income voters.
(90): to a fourth question, also more-or-less no--churchgoers might attach more importance to cultural issues, but this obscures differences amongst churchgoers.
(95): class politics are alive and well in the US--in fact, citing a huber and stanig study that shows that the gap in right-wing electoral suport is larger in the US, than Europe.
chapter 4
(98-99): argument--the puzzle of republican success despite their terrible performance is explained by three forms of myopia that characterizes voters:
- voters responds most to income growth in election years
- election-year income growth is more consequential for affluent families--much more so than for middle-class and poor families. part of this is the special kind of false-consciousness he adduces, it would seem (see graph on 105)
- voters are swayed by campaign-spending (pg. 120)
(107): in a FN he says that Nixon presided over a booming economy--really?
(111, 125): a special kind of false-consciousness--american voters most sensitive to the fortunes of high-income voters
chapter 5
(129): argument-- two important conclusions from this chapter
- strong evidence of the importance of egalitarian values in American political culture
- at the same time, the increasing inequality of the last three decades hasn't had a marked effect on public perceptions (this is a place to talk more about false-consciousness, ideology, etc.)
(164): argument--example of the Bush tax cuts is an excellent example of disconnect between egalitarian sentiments and policy preferences (most people, in fact, hadn't thought about the cuts--page 188). there is considerable latitude given to the political system, he's arguing [this is the wrong way of interpreting this, i would argue]
chapter 7
(198): argument--perplexing story of the estate tax repeal. most people in favor of repeal, though it would benefit only the super-rich. in fact it proves the stubbornness of the political system.
chapter 8
(226-227): argument--paradox of why minimum wage hasn't been raised. explanations include:
- declining stregnth of labor unions (pg. 240)
- partisan politics--republican presidents and republican congresses (pg. 243)
- alternative policy, like the earned income tax credit (pg. 246)
(248): he notes the critical importance of lobbying and corporate interests [strange that this doesn't figure in the explanation, directly.]
(251): demonstrates the unresponsiveness of political institutions in the US
chapter 9
(253): the premise of this presentation is emphatically pluralist--it is the miliband-style critique, of the sort that poulantzas scorned.
(253-254): argument--senators in this period (late 80's, early 90's) were vastly more responsive to the their affluent constituents, than to their constituents of modest means. (see the stark graphs on pg. 261 and pg. 270)
(262): "equal representation of incomes" not "equal representation of citizens"
(277): divergent knowledge levels is not an explanation
(280): important--if senators responded only to campaign contributions, they would respond in a way that accords with the data seen in this chapter.
chapter 10
(285): preferences of low-income people have no discernible impact on the political process.
(287): schumpeter quote
(288-289): bright spots--there are many affluent people with egalitarian views
(290): speaking of 'ideological polarization' -- but this is fundamentally not helpful. all he is saying is that party unity has hardened. push back here.
(292): push back here, too--Democrats have pursued policies for the have-nots(!), Republicans for the haves -- again, this is a clear case where he is not being nuanced in the conclusions drawn from his data.